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Robert Peston
@Peston
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The last roll of the dice for the PM’s Brexit deal. She is saying in her motion for tomorrow that either MPs vote for her deal by next Weds or the UK may stay in the EU for months - and possibly forever - and UK will have to participate in elections to EU parliament. There...
will insurrection in the Commons. @theresa_may taking huge personal risk by threatening MPs in this way. Her job now genuinely on the line
What PM is saying is she will only ask for a short Brexit delay if MPs back her deal next week. MPs, including many in her own party, will be incandescent
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Robert Peston
@Peston
Here is a very learned legal blog which shows that the UK could find itself in the grip of legal chaos or in breach of its international treaty obligations if the government does not on Monday start the process to amend the EU Withdrawal Act so that EU exit day is no longer...
29 March. There are two big problems with doing that. 1) EU is signalling it will almost certainly NOT have agreed to delay Brexit by then (see my note of earlier today itv.com/news/2019-03-1…). 2) Tory and other Brexiters will go nuclear if May simply removes from the...
Withdrawal Act a date for repealing the European Communities Act, in the absence of the EU agreeing a new date, because they will fear that means UK will never actually Brexit. This is the kind of scenario in which there could be a no-deal Brexit on 29 March by accident...
Read 5 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
Government source on Speaker Bercow making it much harder for @theresa_may to bring back her deal to MPs for ANOTHER meaningful vote: “It’s clear that the Speaker’s motive here is to rule out a MV this week which also stands in the way of a securing a shorter extension. Leads...
“you to believe what he really wants is a longer extension, where Parliament will take over the process and force a softer form of Brexit. But anyone who thinks that this makes no deal more likely is mistaken — the Speaker wouldn’t have done it if it did”. ie PM thinks Speaker...
wants backbench MPs to usurp her on Brexit.
Read 3 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
The idea that the Speaker is - on this occasion - abusing the privileges of his office may well be seen outside parliament as far-fetched. In most walks of life, when people vote twice by a HUGE margin for or against a proposition, that's seen as settling the issue. What...
would surely bring the Commons into greater disrepute would be the perception that MPs could change their minds on a third occasion because of threats and bribes - or because at the last they decide to back a deal they see as thoroughly bad simply because the perceived...
alternatives are worse. The history of the UK is not one of a nation settling for mediocrity for fear that it does not have the resource and will to do better. And if MPs were to face the accusation they approved a thoroughly bad Brexit simply because the time ran out to...
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU has almost given up trying to understand what’s going on in UK.
Dutch PM Rutte compares Theresa May to Monty Python knight whose limbs get cut off in a duel but insists the fight was a draw. Elsewhere in EU, mood is darker esp with the prospect of a lengthy #Brexit delay 1
With UK politics mired in confusion, only thing EU can control this week is choreography at EU leaders’ summit, starting Thurs. Donald Tusk, EU Council president is visiting capitals to try to co-ordinate single EU response if/when Theresa May asks for article 50 extension 2
Today Tusk is in Berlin and Paris – the EU superpowers. But when it comes to delaying Brexit, any one of the EU’s 27 leaders has a veto. The decision must be unanimous 3
Read 16 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU watching Westminster closely this week but not rushing to any
conclusions. Here is some of the key thinking in European capitals on
the main #Brexit issues of the day: /1
On Labour/second referendum: Corbyn seen in Europe as convinced
eurosceptic so EU is sceptical of his backing a second referendum. EU
has watched #Brexit turmoil long enough to see huge complications in
holding the vote and realise many leave voters have changed their
mind. /2
Of course EU would still rather UK stayed but Europe's leaders don't
see this as realistically on the cards right now. Most realistic,
considering turmoil in Westminster, says EU council President Tusk:
would be to extend article 50 leaving process. /3
Read 11 tweets
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CER
@CER_EU
Big week for #Brexit – here's thread with @CER_EU recent thinking: what happens if/when MPs vote against @theresa_may deal tomorrow; how a UK-EU customs union is likely if deal is passed; how Brexit will hit UK services exports; and how much leave vote has already hurt UK economy
1 - @theresa_may deal is heading for defeat in parliament tomorrow – that could lead to no deal, the negotiation of a different deal, a general election, a second referendum – or MPs swallowing the package at 2nd attempt, @CER_Grant sets out the options: cer.eu/insights/what-…
2 - Theresa May’s Brexit deal offers some crumbs to Tory hardliners, the DUP and soft Brexiteers. But if the deal passes through parliament, a UK-EU customs union is likely, @JohnSpringford explains why: cer.eu/insights/brexi…
Read 5 tweets
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Open Europe
@OpenEurope
Labour leader @jeremycorbyn delivering #Brexit speech in Wakefield: Let there be no doubt: Theresa May’s deal is a bad deal for our country and Labour will vote against it next week in parliament.
Corbyn: If the govt cannot pass its most important legislation, there must be general election at the earliest opportunity.
Corbyn: If general election cannot be secured, Labour will keep other options on the table, including another #Brexit public vote
Read 11 tweets
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KidTempo
@KidTempo
I actually have his book on the desk behind me. Much like Machiavelli's The Prince, it's a manual on how to be a complete and utter bastard (and win). Many of the chapters point to why Leave won, others to why Remain lost. Based on its content, #FBPE need to get its hands dirty.
The article is very different, and it's Leavers that are the narcissists - they hold a belief in something and won't accept being called up on it, deny any facts they're shown as fake news and propaganda, while never questioning their own sources.
I have #FBPE in my bio, and it's because I value Freedom of Movement. I have benefited from it, as have my friends and family. I want to keep it, I want my fellow UK citizens to keep it, and I want EU residents in the UK to keep it too.
Read 71 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
1) EU watching to see if their #Brexit deal negotiated with the PM is defeated in parliament tomorrow and if so, by how much
2) EU leaders will invite Theresa May to tell them what’s going on in the U.K, what her next steps will be and what she hopes for from them at their scheduled EU summit on Weds and Thursday this week #Brexit
3) EU v much wants to avoid a no-deal scenario but EU leaders unlikely to provide even written clarifications on controversial #Brexit issues like the backstop to help the PM unless they get a pretty cast iron guarantee that will get the deal through Parliament in a second vote
Read 5 tweets

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