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Big week for #Brexit – here's thread with @CER_EU recent thinking: what happens if/when MPs vote against @theresa_may deal tomorrow; how a UK-EU customs union is likely if deal is passed; how Brexit will hit UK services exports; and how much leave vote has already hurt UK economy
1 - @theresa_may deal is heading for defeat in parliament tomorrow – that could lead to no deal, the negotiation of a different deal, a general election, a second referendum – or MPs swallowing the package at 2nd attempt, @CER_Grant sets out the options: cer.eu/insights/what-…
2 - Theresa May’s Brexit deal offers some crumbs to Tory hardliners, the DUP and soft Brexiteers. But if the deal passes through parliament, a UK-EU customs union is likely, @JohnSpringford explains why: cer.eu/insights/brexi…
3 - Even if the UK entered into an ambitious and comprehensive free trade agreement with the EU, leaving the single market would mean new restrictions on British services exports, @SamuelMarcLowe explains: cer.eu/publications/a…
4 - The UK economy is already about 2.5% smaller than it would have been if Britons had voted to remain in 2016, according to @JohnSpringford calculations: cer.eu/insights/cost-…
