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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Let's say Bercow allows May's deal another go, DUP fold tonight, bunch of ERG shift over after resignation announcement. So basically everything goes her way. I still don't think she has the numbers.
1) Around 10 ERG will stay firm. 2) By promising to leave, she discourages moderates in Tory party as chances are she'll be replaced by Kool-Aid headbanger. 3) Same goes for Labour MPs. 4) Indicative votes offers ray of opportunity to those who wanted another way.
I could be wrong. Shit, I've been wrong before. Especially that time I thought maybe Marks and Spencers prosecco flavoured crisps might be alright. But I don't think it gets her over the line.
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
OK, debate begins on May's third-meaningful-vote-it's-not-a-meaningful-vote-but-actually-it-is-she's-a-desperate-liar.
Rattling boombox Geoffrey Cox is up for the government. "This should've been the day we left the European Union," he says.
"I do not intend to review how and why we have arrived at this point." Bet you don't mate.
Read 207 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Humphryd tough questioning to Liam Fox: if we don't Leave properly what do you think will be the reaction?
'A lot of this has been manipulated by MPs who think it's best we do not leave the EU'. That's Humphrys talking, not Fox.
Did he ask the government minister what he wanted to talk about before the interview and then decide to say it himself?
Read 5 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
You can see the sense in this, but the notion of implication doesn't seem to have much effect on MPs right now. They're more concerned with what's in front of them and answering to their base on how they voted on it.
So the fact that we'd take part in European elections can be waved away as the fault of May's weakness, or Remainers. But the vote on the deal is personal.
Anyway I refuse to give a fuck about any of this right now. But tomorrow will clearly be another day of hell, at the end of which we'll end up exactly where we started.
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