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1/Interesting real life example of letting your emotions take over: Walking to lunch today through Union Square in NYC and I see unusual police activity. Sixth sense says 'somethings up.' On way back, see 4 NYPD with machine guns and helmets, confirmation bias kicks in
2/ and I think "somethings up for sure." Continue walking around, through farmers market, but with extra awareness. Verdict: Nothing- now--was up and I burned extra awareness points for nothing.
Multiple by 100 to see this effect take over when something you
Multiple by 100 to see this effect take over when something you
3/ intuit is confirmed shortly after the intuition.
Almost always wrong, but we don't remember those times, we only remember the rare times when something *was* indeed up, and that plays havoc with our ability to calibrate these things correctly.
Almost always wrong, but we don't remember those times, we only remember the rare times when something *was* indeed up, and that plays havoc with our ability to calibrate these things correctly.
