, 6 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
1 of 6/

Media reports:
• Trump may not remove his tariffs on China
• Trump asked Xi to shift China's retaliation off US farm exports and onto US companies

So, TWO NEW THINGS from me:

*FIRST*, I break down the 2018 US-China tariff mess with CHARTS... piie.com/blogs/trade-in…
2 of 6/

...and with data assistance from the GREAT @EvaYZhang, I show how

Trump's 2018 special tariffs covered more US imports from China than at any point since the beginning of time...

(or at least since 1980, the year when my new database starts...)
3 of 6/

The last time the US imposed such special protection against China was the 1980s, when it was whacking Chinese t-shirts.

But this time, Trump went after everything BUT textiles and apparel. He REALLY hit intermediate inputs, hurting US access to global supply chains...
4 of 6/

China's 2018 retaliation was VERY different. It targeted US farmers. It stayed away from hurting Chinese companies.

Re: Trump's ask that China change HOW it retaliates against the US?

I am skeptical for two reasons. China's initial choices were clearly strategic...
5 of 6/

(almost) Finally, one of Trump's alleged motivations for all this was that US and China tariffs were NOT RECIPROCAL.

But his trade war with China has NOT changed that.

BOTH are just imposing higher (nonreciprocal) tariffs than before...
👇🏾
6 of 6/

*SECOND*, these new data come from a new research paper.

The new paper is different from (Tweet 1 of 6) the short explainer of the charts.

It explores what may be REALLY going on behind the 2018 trade war.

You can read that here.
👇🏾 END/
piie.com/publications/w…
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