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Thread on #IndiaTodayAxisPoll data:
MyAxis had 500 surveyors, 7.5 L voters, with each interview lasting a minimum of 10 mins per their own explainer. So each surveyor interviewed 1500 voters, for 250 hours over 40 days, excl time to find respondents! 1/n
indiatoday.in/elections/lok-…
MyAxis had 500 surveyors, 7.5 L voters, with each interview lasting a minimum of 10 mins per their own explainer. So each surveyor interviewed 1500 voters, for 250 hours over 40 days, excl time to find respondents! 1/n
indiatoday.in/elections/lok-…
Assuming it took 5 mins to find each respondent, it means an additional 125 hours. Add to this travel time btwn constituencies/states from phase to phase and the number of man-hours needed can go up a lot, but efficient management can reduce that so let's ignore it. 2/n
In my limited experience, I can tell you that the self-proclaimed level of rigorous surveying in the time frame is next to impossible. The scale, counter-intuitively, makes the survey prone to mass fake reporting by stretched field teams, possibly underpaid, to meet targets 3/n
This is not a judgement on surveyors, who probably had unreal targets set for them by the agency. It's a judgement on the agency itself for taking all of us for a ride, that too with the smugness of India Today anchors about their "reliability". 4/n
Would appreciate comments from research and psephology folks if these numbers make any sense at all, and also from @IndiaToday which must've done some level of editorial scrutiny. @sardesairajdeep @rahulkanwal 5/5
