,
4 tweets,
2 min read
Read on Twitter
Happy that #MTGO is improving its UI, and overall positive about the idea of league consolidation.
Compared to EV in Comp Leagues, it's a 2.1 tix increase at 40% win rate, 0.5 tix increase at 50%, 2 tix decrease at 60%, and 5 tix decrease at 70%.
(assuming static chest price)
Compared to EV in Comp Leagues, it's a 2.1 tix increase at 40% win rate, 0.5 tix increase at 50%, 2 tix decrease at 60%, and 5 tix decrease at 70%.
(assuming static chest price)
Adding to this, static chest price is not a reasonable assumption, but I can't really predict what will happen to them, quantitatively. Qualitatively, supply down = price up, assuming curation choices keep values the same (again, bad to assume).
Specifics in next tweet.
Specifics in next tweet.
For someone with a 60% win rate to keep the same EV as they currently have in comp leagues, chest prices would have to jump from 2.28 tix (now) to ~3.05 (future).
For someone with a 70% win rate to maintain EV, chest price would have to jump to ~3.5 tix, which is not likely.
For someone with a 70% win rate to maintain EV, chest price would have to jump to ~3.5 tix, which is not likely.
Overall, the EV of a league for all players (50% winrate overall) is up, and positive (-0.17 before to +0.38 now), and that's HUGE! Props to @MagicOnline
"The house always wins" is based on the 50% player losing money. MTGO just flipped that, so that the average player is up.
"The house always wins" is based on the 50% player losing money. MTGO just flipped that, so that the average player is up.
