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1. THREAD: 30 years ago I helped demolish the Iranian navy. Before that there were years of attacks on Iraq/GCC in Tanker war. Not til they covertly/indiscrim mined & damaged USS SB Roberts in 1988 did we attack. It wasn’t a light decision. We could prove acts beyond any doubt
2. IRGC are an asymmetric terror militia. They may/may not have hit tankers. I’ve seen DOD vids. It’s all postattack but nothing preattack or placing charges. Only IR reax to 2 burning ships 20nm away. This isn’t Boghammers shooting rkts all day & kidnapping crews like in 80s.
3. Also a missile fm Yemen to Abha Airport & a single rkt in Baghdad do not equate to regionwide conflict agnst USA. They have own local reasons. Also ISIS/Talib IED in Afg is NOT part of IRGC PG threat. @SecPompeo lumping these is wrong & gins up bad Turner Joy/WMD comparisons.
4. @csdickey & I KNOW what happens when you read intelligence wrong & desperately want a fight. You kill 290 civilians by accident bc everything is seen as part of an IRGC attack so you shoot w/o evidence. S/o wants a fight here ... we need to avoid it. thedailybeast.com/what-the-last-…
5. The Fujairah tanker attacks were ridiculously amateur & hurt nothing. Why would IRGC risk their oil market to NOT sink 6 ships? These new tanker atks were NOT very sophisticated. S/o placed demo charges on the hull covertly. UXO may even be Iranian origin but evidence for war?
6. USS Bainbridge saw what they saw; IRGC removing UXO but they didn’t see IRGC deploy, position & execute it right? It’s Pompeos Interpretation that’s suspect. Bc Trump lies so much his admin’s word & goals cannot be trusted.
7. I’ve fought or been attacked by Iran & surrogates in PG, Lebanon & Iraq 3 times over 20 years. War w/85 million Iranians doesn’t get you democratic Iran its begets new Thermopylaes, $300 bbl oil, an Iranian dominated MidEast/Mecca &/or a Nuke Det. It’s folly desired by fools.
