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🔽 Iranian FM statement in response to the statement of the #G7 foreign ministers
The Iranian Foreign Ministry has condemned the accusations made in a statement of the foreign ministers of the Group of Seven against the Islamic Republic of #Iran as baseless and meddlesome.
The Iranian Foreign Ministry has condemned the accusations made in a statement of the foreign ministers of the Group of Seven against the Islamic Republic of #Iran as baseless and meddlesome.
🔽 The Foreign Ministry described the #G7 statement as implying the unilateral approach of western parties who violate regional & international peace, stability & security & are trying to impose the group’s will on independent nations, multilateral frameworks & int’ cooperation.
🔽It is regrettable that the member states of G7 have leveled unfounded allegations against Iran’s peaceful nuclear program instead of holding the United States accountable for its clear violation of international law due to its unjustified & unilateral withdrawal from the #JCPOA
#China’s #Iran-#Saudi Deal a Tool to Avoid Any Wave of Democratic Regime Change:
I was quoted
@EpochTimes @venusupadhayaya
Thread
I highlighted: Saudi MBS Vision 2030, requires
“De-escalation with Turkey, Qatar, Syria, resumption of relations
theepochtimes.com/chinas-iran-sa…
⬇️1
I was quoted
@EpochTimes @venusupadhayaya
Thread
I highlighted: Saudi MBS Vision 2030, requires
“De-escalation with Turkey, Qatar, Syria, resumption of relations
theepochtimes.com/chinas-iran-sa…
⬇️1
Auch, wenn die Narrative & Argumente der Lobbyisten der #IslamicRepublic raffinierter werden, können einige Grund-Narrative so veranschaulicht werden, dass Leser* & Zuschauer* erste Warnhinweise in den Aussagen von vermeintlichen „Iran-Experten*“ erkennen. #No2IRLobby (1)
Doch worauf zielen diese Narrative genau ab? Darauf, die IR als das kleinere Übel darzustellen oder das Suchen einvernehmlicher Strategien als Gefahrenabwendung zu verkaufen. Ein Übel, mit dem westliche Politik eben verhandeln muss, (2)
um Schlimmeres für das eigene und andere Länder, aber auch für das iranische Volk (!) zu vermeiden. Wenn westl. Länder dann zu pseudo-kompromissbereiten Vertragspartnern werden, stellt das in der Außenwahrnehmung eine regelrechte Legitimation der IRI durch westl. Staaten dar; (3)
Herr @HillelNeuer spricht hier im Kontext der @UN_HRC vor und benutzt eine sehr deutliche Sprache zu den Verbrechen der #IRI. Die Frage ist, ob solche Aktionen auch endlich politische Konsequenzen mit sich ziehen. #IranRevoIution (1)
Die #IRGCterrorists sind dabei, sich mit ihrem zerschnittenen Image abzufinden & wirken nicht mehr so stark wie früher darauf erpicht, dem Westen zu gefallen. Der nun offene Anschluss an 🇷🇺🇨🇳🇸🇦🇧🇾kann auch als Drohgebärde verstanden werden: (2)
„Wollt ihr uns nicht, suchen wir uns andere Freunde. Seid ihr nicht unsere Freunde, verliert ihr das Bisschen Einfluss auf uns, das ihr vielleicht noch auf uns hattet.“ 🇪🇺🇩🇪, aber auch Biden haben derzeit keine passende Antwort. Alte, aber kaum bewährte Strategien (3)
KLĘSKA USA NA BLISKIM WSCHODZIE
10.03. ogłoszono wznowienie stosunków Arabii Saudyjskiej i Iranu. To przełom, nie tylko przez fakt, kto normalizuje relacje, ale też gdzie. Mimo że latami w negocjacjach pomagały Irak i Oman, sukces dyplomatyczny ogłoszono w Chinach 1/21
10.03. ogłoszono wznowienie stosunków Arabii Saudyjskiej i Iranu. To przełom, nie tylko przez fakt, kto normalizuje relacje, ale też gdzie. Mimo że latami w negocjacjach pomagały Irak i Oman, sukces dyplomatyczny ogłoszono w Chinach 1/21
Relacje między Arabią Saudyjską i Iranem zostały zerwane w 2016 r. po tym, gdy tłum wtargnął do ambasady tej pierwszej w Teheranie. Doszło do reakcji Irańczyków (potem aresztowanych) na egzekucję lidera saudyjskich szyitów i dalszych 46, społeczności dyskryminowanej w A.S. 2/21
Było to wyrazem sprzeczności z różną metryką-od podziału na sunnitów i szyitów sprzed ponad 1,4 tys. lat po (powiązaną z nim!) różnicę ideologiczno-polityczną między dynastyczną monarchią a postrewolucyjną republiką czy w końcu konkurencja na rynkach surowców energetycznych. 3/21
Must Read 🟢
Death of a Myth
We are experiencing the death throes of the #US unipolar hegemony over large parts of world. theamericanconservative.com/death-of-a-myt…
Death of a Myth
We are experiencing the death throes of the #US unipolar hegemony over large parts of world. theamericanconservative.com/death-of-a-myt…
"Until citizens begin to realize the magnitude of their govt’s policy deceptions, it will become increasingly difficult to understand the #US changing global position & adjust to the effects of the growing negative perception of our country held by many people around the world."
Since World War II, & particularly after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the US was the dominant & unrivaled world power. Instead of being a peacekeeper & honest “world's policeman,” the US has increasingly been a destabilizing bully.
theamericanconservative.com/death-of-a-myt…
theamericanconservative.com/death-of-a-myt…
Happening now: US Senate's Annual Worldwide Threats with:
@ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines
@CIA Dir William Burns
@DefenseIntel Dir LtGen Scott Berrier
@CYBERCOM_DIRNSA Gen Paul Nakasone
@FBI Dir Christopher Wray
intelligence.senate.gov/hearings/open-…
@ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines
@CIA Dir William Burns
@DefenseIntel Dir LtGen Scott Berrier
@CYBERCOM_DIRNSA Gen Paul Nakasone
@FBI Dir Christopher Wray
intelligence.senate.gov/hearings/open-…
"We are increasingly seeing rising competition in the technology space with authoritarian regimes that are challenging democratic norms at home & around the world," per Senate Intel Committee chair @MarkWarner
#China's communist party "is now a near-peer competitor with the United States in its economy, technology & military capabilities" per @MarkWarner
1/9 Frau @ABaerbock: Wie lange wollen Sie sich solchen Terror- & Horrorstrategien noch entziehen u. Gestalten wie Abdollahian eine Bühne mit Applaus bieten? Was haben Sie bei Verhandlungen eigentlich den #IRGCterrorists entgegenzusetzen?
t-online.de/nachrichten/au…
t-online.de/nachrichten/au…
2/9 Haben Sie noch immer nicht bemerkt, dass es Länder gibt, die aggressive Ideologien haben & die westl. "Ideologielosigkeit" (=Opfer von Überkonsum) belächeln? Wie armselig ist es, dass geschützte Werte wie Menschenrechte so schwach verteidigt & exportiert werden, weil ...
3/9 offensichtlich wirtschaftl. Interessen den Vorrang haben? Oder wollen Sie uns ernsthaft weismachen, dass man ein Terrorregime aufhält, indem man ihre Gelder freisetzt mit einem Attrappen-Atomdeal? (#JCPOA). Mehrfach wurde Ihnen lügend ins Gesicht gelacht, Uran wurde ...
Last yr #UkraineWar became the organizing principle of Russian foreign policy
➡️7 trends
1 Full turn to non-West
2 China’s junior partner
3 Less leverage vis middle powers
4 Struggle in the neighbourhood
5 Russia MFA sidelined
6 Wagner normalized
7 End of compartmentalization
🧵
➡️7 trends
1 Full turn to non-West
2 China’s junior partner
3 Less leverage vis middle powers
4 Struggle in the neighbourhood
5 Russia MFA sidelined
6 Wagner normalized
7 End of compartmentalization
🧵
1. Full turn to the non-West:
Judging its break with the West to be total & irreversible, Russia's leadership has intensified its (pre-existing) turn to #MENA, #Africa, #LATAM, #Asia-Pacific.
Shunned & sanctioned, Russia needs to make up for losses wherever it can... (2/22)
Judging its break with the West to be total & irreversible, Russia's leadership has intensified its (pre-existing) turn to #MENA, #Africa, #LATAM, #Asia-Pacific.
Shunned & sanctioned, Russia needs to make up for losses wherever it can... (2/22)
This year, Lavrov already visited 8 African states, Iraq, & hosted Pakistani & Egyptian FMs.
Russia's push to expand engagement does resonate.
Last spring, #MENA states for instance refused to take the West’s side vs Russia - for complex reasons: docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA… (3/22)
Russia's push to expand engagement does resonate.
Last spring, #MENA states for instance refused to take the West’s side vs Russia - for complex reasons: docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA… (3/22)
1/73 📢Viele fragen sich "Was hat @PahlaviReza (RP) in den letzten 44 Jahren gemacht?"
Lassen Sie uns gemeinsam Revue passieren! 🧵
Lassen Sie uns gemeinsam Revue passieren! 🧵
Der 18-jährige Reza Pahlavi verließ am 21. Juni 1978, unmittelbar nach dem Abitur und fast 8 Monate vor der Revolution, den #Iran Richtung Texas, um seine Pilotenausbildung bei der US Air Force zu absolvieren.
Vor seiner Einreise nach Amerika machte er einen kurzen Zwischenstopp in England und traf sich dort mit der britischen Königsfamilie.
1/
Statement by France 🇫🇷, #Germany 🇩🇪, the United Kingdom🇬🇧, and the United States 🇺🇸 on the IAEA`s Latest Report on #Iran`s Nuclear Program.
"We, the governments of France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States, take note of the report by the International"
Statement by France 🇫🇷, #Germany 🇩🇪, the United Kingdom🇬🇧, and the United States 🇺🇸 on the IAEA`s Latest Report on #Iran`s Nuclear Program.
"We, the governments of France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States, take note of the report by the International"
Ich habe für das kommende Jahr vor allem einen Wunsch und eine Hoffnung: Dass wir endlich damit beginnen, aus unseren Fehlern zu lernen und mit Mut politische Entscheidungen treffen. Denn auf Deutschland kommt es in Europa an. #Zeitenwende
2/6 Deutschland hat sich selbstverschuldet ih die Energieabhängigkeit von #Russland begeben. Aber anstatt zu lernen und umzusteuern, begehen wir nun den gleichen Fehler im Umgang mit #China. Unsere Abhängigkeit wächst weiter.
3/6 Wir haben die Logik, dass Diplomatie und militärische Fähigkeiten zusammengehören, in der Vergangenheit zu häufig ausgeblendet. Eine schlecht ausgestattete #Bundeswehr ist das Ergebnis. Aber anstatt jetzt mit aller Kraft umzusteuern, wird weiter verschleppt.
How to evaluate the Baghdad II Summit in Amman?
Has this second Summit helped defusing tensions & strengthening cooperation as #Russia-#Ukraine conflict increasingly impacts this MENA region?
A THREAD 🧵 1/13
Has this second Summit helped defusing tensions & strengthening cooperation as #Russia-#Ukraine conflict increasingly impacts this MENA region?
A THREAD 🧵 1/13
1/13 Let’s start with positive points. In continuity with Baghdad I Summit (August 2021), the conference built on a solid policy line:
Iraq & regional stability are interdependent: reg. tensions play out in Iraq. Iraq’s instability can spill over & fuel regional tensions.
Iraq & regional stability are interdependent: reg. tensions play out in Iraq. Iraq’s instability can spill over & fuel regional tensions.
2/13 The Summit helped the process of Iraq’s balanced & diversified FP to continue despite the change of PM.
Some GCC states knew little & looked with suspicion at new PM Mohamed Shia al-Sudani backed by traditional Shiite parties. In-person meetings help building trust.
Some GCC states knew little & looked with suspicion at new PM Mohamed Shia al-Sudani backed by traditional Shiite parties. In-person meetings help building trust.
Top adviser to #Iran's #Khamenei calls for reopening of #Saudi, Iranian embassies six years after elements in #Basij and #IRGC paramilitaries stormed and burned #KSA missions in #Tehran and #Mashhad. /1
reuters.com/world/middle-e…
via @GoogleNews
reuters.com/world/middle-e…
via @GoogleNews
In Aug 2020, a former Iranian lawmaker Ali Motahari accused #Iran government of alienating Arab countries and cited the example of the burning of #Saudi embassy in #Tehran and the Saudi consulate in #Mashhad. /2
In 2020, #Iran appointed one of the masterminds of the 2016 attack on the #Saudi embassy in #Tehran as the head of the cultural committee of Iran’s Judo Federation. /3
rferl.org/a/iran-masterm…
rferl.org/a/iran-masterm…
#Iran, le proteste di piazza, le ingerenze americane, il contesto internazionale
L’immagine fornita dai media occidentali nasconde la complessità della partita iraniana.
Il mio ultimo articolo per #IntelligenceForThePeople
1/23
🧵
#IranProtests2022
robertoiannuzzi.substack.com/p/iran-le-prot…
L’immagine fornita dai media occidentali nasconde la complessità della partita iraniana.
Il mio ultimo articolo per #IntelligenceForThePeople
1/23
🧵
#IranProtests2022
robertoiannuzzi.substack.com/p/iran-le-prot…
Da metà settembre, l’#Iran è alle prese con ondate di protesta di varia intensità, sullo sfondo di un malcontento diffuso e di una difficile situazione economica nel paese, enormemente inasprita dalle sanzioni internazionali che ne soffocano lo sviluppo.
2/23
#IranProtests2022
2/23
#IranProtests2022
Ciò avviene mentre Teheran è ancora impegnata in un estenuante negoziato con gli USA per ripristinare l’accordo nucleare (#JCPOA), e si appresta ad aderire all’Organizzazione per la Cooperazione di Shanghai (#SCO) entro il 2023.
3/23
amwaj.media/article/what-i…
3/23
amwaj.media/article/what-i…
One step forward, two steps back.
Such is the dance of the diplomatic saga that is the #JCPOA negotiations.
Today, the music has stopped and the #IranNuclearDeal is at risk of collapsing.
[Thread] 🧵👇
crisisgroup.org/b87-middle-eas…
Such is the dance of the diplomatic saga that is the #JCPOA negotiations.
Today, the music has stopped and the #IranNuclearDeal is at risk of collapsing.
[Thread] 🧵👇
crisisgroup.org/b87-middle-eas…
An important reminder: the process is not over.
Parties to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (#JCPOA) continue to express their intention to revive the deal.
Though it seems unlikely today, parties were very close to reaching an agreement in March earlier this year.
Parties to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (#JCPOA) continue to express their intention to revive the deal.
Though it seems unlikely today, parties were very close to reaching an agreement in March earlier this year.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine blew the #JCPOA negotiations off the map, and talks lost their momentum.
When the parties reconvened, some of the gaps that the two sides thought they had narrowed or closed had reappeared or even widened.
When the parties reconvened, some of the gaps that the two sides thought they had narrowed or closed had reappeared or even widened.
📢 LIVE NOW!
What are the prospects for reviving the #IranNuclearDeal?
Tune in this live discussion with #JCPOA experts @AliVaez @EllieGeranmayeh & Naysan Rafati 🎙️
Questions can be sent through DMs for the Q&A.
fal.cn/3rMJl
What are the prospects for reviving the #IranNuclearDeal?
Tune in this live discussion with #JCPOA experts @AliVaez @EllieGeranmayeh & Naysan Rafati 🎙️
Questions can be sent through DMs for the Q&A.
fal.cn/3rMJl
Don't miss our latest report on the current state of the #JCPOA negotiations, and where they are headed, in available online as of this morning!
crisisgroup.org/b87-middle-eas…
crisisgroup.org/b87-middle-eas…
“The process is now really bordering on the absurd", says as @AliVaez to open our live Twitter Space discussion on the #JCPOA negotiations.
Join us and ask your questions for the Q&A through our DMs!
twitter.com/i/spaces/1jMKg…
Join us and ask your questions for the Q&A through our DMs!
twitter.com/i/spaces/1jMKg…
IAEA Director General @RafaelMGrossi delivered statement at Board of Governors meeting this morning. Remarks on nuclear safety and security in #Ukraine, #JCPOA and #Iran, #DPRK, and more.
📝 Full statement: bit.ly/3eINp4o
📝 Full statement: bit.ly/3eINp4o
#Ukraine: "Just a few days ago I led IAEA Support and Assistance Mission to #Zaporizhzhya NPP. ISAMZ established a continuous IAEA presence at the site to help ensure nuclear safety & security and allowed inspectors to undertake vital safeguards activities" - @RafaelMGrossi
#Ukraine: "ISAMZ made clear the urgent & imperative goal of halting the shelling that is hindering the safe operation of #Zaporizhzhya NPP. A nuclear safety & security protection zone is urgently needed & I have begun initial consultations with relevant Parties" - @RafaelMGrossi
Let's talk about what this actually means for Iran's nuclear program:
-Iran will ship out/blend down more than 238 kg of 20% enriched uranium
-Iran will ship out/blend down more than 43 kg of 60% enriched uranium
1/ #IranDeal
-Iran will ship out/blend down more than 238 kg of 20% enriched uranium
-Iran will ship out/blend down more than 43 kg of 60% enriched uranium
1/ #IranDeal
-Iran will remove about 1,000 IR-6 centrifuges
-Iran will remove about 1,000 IR-2 centrifuges
-Iran will remove about 1,000 IR-1 centrifuges
-Iran will remove more than 500 IR-4 centrifuges
-Iran will stop enrichment at Fordow & remove all uranium from the site
2/
-Iran will remove about 1,000 IR-2 centrifuges
-Iran will remove about 1,000 IR-1 centrifuges
-Iran will remove more than 500 IR-4 centrifuges
-Iran will stop enrichment at Fordow & remove all uranium from the site
2/
-Iran will be prohibited from finishing the Arak reactor based on the original design, as it has threatened to do
-Iran will be prohibited from building a new heavy water reactor (as required by Iran's 2020 nuclear law) until 2031
3/
-Iran will be prohibited from building a new heavy water reactor (as required by Iran's 2020 nuclear law) until 2031
3/
1/ #SHEEHAN: “The growing cooperation between #Russia and #China – and correspondingly between Russia and #Iran, including a recent deal to sell the #Kremlin 1,000 war #drones – is cause for grave security concern. @ProfSheehan
2/ “The #Moscow-#Beijing-#Tehran nexus constitutes an #authoritarian axis that is likely to consume U.S. attention for the long future.” @ProfSheehan
3/ “Dep Direc of #CIA for #Counterintelligence Mark Kelton, a 34-year veteran of intelligence operations, suggested that the biggest winner in #Ukraine is #Beijing as #NATO failed to stop the Russian meatgrinder in Ukraine despite the harsh Biden sanctions policies.” @ProfSheehan
As we reported exclusively yesterday, the Iranian response to the draft #JCPOA revival text does not contain any further demands with regard to the IAEA safeguards probe. 1/
politico.com/news/2022/08/1…
politico.com/news/2022/08/1…
There is no confirmation that Iran has accepted the EU proposal on the safeguards probe, but in the current Iran reply there is no more mention of it. This could be a signal that Iran is ready to move ahead on a deal, but it surely also depends on what their other demands are. 2/
Looking at the negotiations over the past 16 months, I would also not be surprised if Iran now pressurises the U.S. and the other parties into giving in more on sanctions and economic guarantees, and then reverts back and asks for more on safeguards probe. Tough call. 3/
#JCPOA Updates:
🔹 Iran has responded to the latest draft text put forward by the EU as coordinator of the talks after recent consultations in Vienna
🔹Multiple sources who have read Iran’s reply have told me that they are optimistic about Iran’s suggestions to the text 1/3
🔹 Iran has responded to the latest draft text put forward by the EU as coordinator of the talks after recent consultations in Vienna
🔹Multiple sources who have read Iran’s reply have told me that they are optimistic about Iran’s suggestions to the text 1/3
🔹Sources have noted that the suggestions are “minor” “workable” and only require “tweaks” to the text, primarily on the economic assurances side of things
🔹The ball is now truly in the US court to decide whether it is willing to accom. these changes and reseal the deal 2/3
🔹The ball is now truly in the US court to decide whether it is willing to accom. these changes and reseal the deal 2/3
🔹Iran’s response is smart by design: unusually on time, strategically focused in scope (ie on economic assurances that the US could indeed offer more clarity and comfort on), and with constructive proposals on language that could bridge gaps
1/8 #SalmanRushdie je vois très peu de com concernant la responsabilité du régime des Mollahs #Iran dans la tentative d'assassinat qui a visé Salman Rushdie. Les condamnations citent l'islamisme en général, or ici il s'agit d'une fatwa du régime iranien et non d'un groupe
2/8 terroriste comme l'EI ou al Qaida. Cet acte révèle la nature du régime iranien qui bénéficie de nombreux soutiens en occident, certains le perçoivent comme un régime anti-impérialiste là où d'autres vantent le pragmatisme de la "branche modérée" du régime
3/8 Un aveuglement organisé pour justifier le deal sur le nucléaire #JCPOA. Il suffit de lire comment l'équipe #OBAMA s'est organisée pour manipuler l'opinion et faire accepter l'accord nucléaire alors que l'Iran terrorisait le Moyen-Orient nytimes.com/2016/05/08/mag…
Senior EU official on #JCPOA talks: The current talks in Vienna are aimed at closing the text presented by @JosepBorrellF on July 21. The space for negotiation has been exhaused. We are discussing 4-5 "technical issues". We are "fine-tuning" them. #ViennaTalks 1/
On prospect of success: "I think there is a real possibility of having an agreement but it is not going to be easy." The sticking point on the IRGC delisting has been resolved. It has been agreed that it will be discussed in the future once the US and Iran can meet directly. 2/
The sticking point on guarantees has also been resolved. Iran is no longer demanding political guarantees. "We are addressing this concern [the guarantees] in the text in quite a substantial way. Iran is happy with what is included in the text on guarantees." 3/
