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1. For the second consecutive week, Elizabeth Warren is tied for 2nd in The Economist's weekly 2020 primary polling from YouGov. No significant changes from last week:
26% say Biden is their 1st choice
Warren: 14
Sanders: 13
Buttigieg: 9
Harris: 7
d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_upload…
26% say Biden is their 1st choice
Warren: 14
Sanders: 13
Buttigieg: 9
Harris: 7
d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_upload…
2. Perhaps it is more significant that a larger share of Democratic primary voters are considering Warren than Sanders:
Biden: 52% considering voting for him
Warren: 45
Harris: 38
Sanders: 35
Buttigieg: 34
O'Rourke: 25
Booker: 20
In other words, her ceiling might be higher.
Biden: 52% considering voting for him
Warren: 45
Harris: 38
Sanders: 35
Buttigieg: 34
O'Rourke: 25
Booker: 20
In other words, her ceiling might be higher.
3. Warren's position really stands out when you divide the share considering each candidate by the share of Democratic primary voters who know who they are:
Biden: 55
Warren: 52
Buttigieg: 48
Harris: 47
Sanders: 37
O'Rourke: 32
Booker: 26
Castro: 20
Biden: 55
Warren: 52
Buttigieg: 48
Harris: 47
Sanders: 37
O'Rourke: 32
Booker: 26
Castro: 20
4. Warren's net favorability ratings are higher among Democrats than any other candidate's:
5/5. All of this is to say that it does appear like Warren is getting a return on her long game strategy. While fortunes and favorabilities for other candidates have waned since their announcement, it seems like she has held steady on a slow course upward.
