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1 / I reported this morning: Officials in the Gulf states believe that the reason for the beginning of the Gulf crisis with Iran in May is related to the fact that the conclusions of the Muller report were published at the end of March / early April. & I'll explain >>
2 / According to the officials, the working assumption in Iran was that the conclusions of the Muller report would lead to either Trump's impeachment or his political weakening - which would ultimately lead to a relaxation of sanctions or an American desire to talk to Iran >>
3 / But this did not happen - and Muller's clearing Trump in March / April caused the Iranian government to understand that the sanctions imposed after the cancellation of the nuclear agreement - a year earlier, in May 2018 - are not expected to change soon >>
4 / At the end of April there were already signs of tension in the Gulf and in May the first tanker attack occurred - the Iranians sabotaged 4 tankers in the Gulf of Oman, What started the chain of events - Which officials belive is aimed at trying to cause an ease of sanctions
