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Michael Tracey
@mtracey
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Seems counter-intuitive, but Iowa eliminating the "virtual caucus" could conceivably hurt Biden. His base is old people, many of whom do not want to go out at night in the dead of winter: especially if they have to stay for over an hour. How many elderly will physically caucus?
On that note: Selzer poll from June (seen as the gold standard in Iowa) showed Biden benefitting the most from the "virtual caucus" option. Maybe it ultimately won't matter, but something to consider
If the option for a 90-something voter is not participating in the caucus at all, or potentially figuring out how to "virtually caucus" (probably with help) -- then it seems reasonable to infer the elimination of this option could in fact potentially hurt Biden
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Michael Tracey
@mtracey
Bolton aside, Trump hasn't started any new wars (yet). He's come close, and he's escalated wars begun by his predecessors, but he hasn't started any new ones. That's a low bar, but still notable because the same cannot be said for most recent presidents
His foreign policy has been a mess numerous other respects, and we're in a sad state when "credit" must be allocated to a president for doing the bare minimum of not starting new wars. But again, still notable -- whether you want to acknowledge it or not
By this point in his presidency Obama had already started the Libya war and surged massively in Afghanistan, both of which were disasters. He later started the Syria regime change op, the Yemen catastrophe, and Iraq War 3.0 (which, by the way, is still illegal)
Read 4 tweets
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Michael Tracey
@mtracey
Referring to Iraq, Joe Biden told me: "Yes, I did oppose the war before it began." Which is 100% demonstrably false, and a further extension of his gross revisionism on the subject realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/…
Biden previously claimed that he opposed the Iraq War "the moment it started." Now he's claiming he opposed the war *before* it started. So his tall tale keeps extending to bigger and bigger versions of falsity. It wasn't that long ago -- we have the transcripts
Please do not under any circumstances try to tell me that Biden's continued misrepresentations and distortions of his record on this issue are "gaffes" 🙄
Read 5 tweets
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Michael Tracey
@mtracey
Tulsi went on Dave Rubin yesterday and made the case for abortion rights, gun control, higher taxes, government regulation of industry, and why he's wrong about various subjects, but her mere appearance on the show will of course provoke shrieks that she's a stealth right-winger
I don't particularly like Rubin -- find his shtick extremely tedious at this point -- but to immediately play the "guilt by association" game where it's denounced as inherently evil to even appear on his show is ridiculous and destructive
People such as Rubin who create an entire identity around how "I didn't leave [insert ideology], [insert ideology] left me" are usually extremely shallow despite the veneer of deep intellectual curiosity. This is a cross-ideological phenomenon: see also, Never Trumpers
Read 4 tweets

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