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Fionna O'Leary, Rees Mogg Can Call me Sir #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
How many people on here think that Labour’s Brexit model is a soft Brexit?

Would it surprise you to know that it is a CU with alignment on SM rules without being IN the Single Market
They seek to end FOM.

That is a hard Brexit
Just not as hard as CETA.
2/. Still would need the backstop.

It would also mean being a rule taker, not maker.

How many of you think that would stop the ERG/BXP/ Leavers from trying to break the year’s of negotiation that would follow withdrawal to achieve the necessary FTA?
3/. So it is not the Norway model (EEA). Norway is not in a customs union with the EU. It doesn’t have the same need for JiT/ manufacturing provisions as the U.K. very different market economy.

This on the EEA model from Prof Dougan @mdouganlpool
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More from @fascinatorfun see all

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Fionna O'Leary, Rees Mogg Can Call me Sir #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Neutrality..is very on-brand for JC.
The facts of Brexit aren’t neutral & Corbyn’s opponents aren’t playing fair. Being neutral is tantamount to doing nothing. Not only is that politically dangerous, it’s dangerous in a way that real people could get hurt
bylinetimes.com/2019/09/20/cor…
2/. Really excellent from @RikWorth

Thank you.

“Neutrality”. The appearance that you simply don’t care enough for the Leader of the party to fight the Party’s corner, whatever that is, with fire and conviction is not “neutral”.

It is neglect and looks weak.
3/

“By remaining neutral, Corbyn is going to allow Johnson’s dishonesty to rampage through a second referendum practically unchallenged.”
Read 9 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, Rees Mogg Can Call me Sir #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
@marcowenjones

Have you seen this? Seems of interest given your paper on the Qatar 2017 elections

Turns out our old mates, SCL Elections Ltd and Nix, fingerprints were at the scene.
See embedded thread.
Read 3 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, Rees Mogg Can Call me Sir #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Just When it is Corbyn who has hit the record low for opposition Leader satisfaction on Ipsos Mori records. Right back to 1977....
Labour tries to get rid of Watson...

Could they be trying to make sure Watson is not Leader by default when Corbyn resigns?
At -60% that is 4% worse than Foot.

Blair was +7%.

And Labour thinks they are on the right track.

Shrug.
Ah. Just seen this.

Now. What will the members & MPs do?

Will they allow the NEC and the 4Ms to run rings around them again?

Who will win the arm wrestle. They will have to have singular focus and insist on razor sharp if they are to turn this around.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Jill Rutter
@jillongovt
so no one thinks Labour and Conservatives will agree a #brexit deal - @instituteforgov we tried to assess how far apart they are...and hwo likely the EU is to concede...
On a customs union, the PM's withdrawal agreement contains as near a legal commitment to a permanent CU as you could get - and its compatible with the political declaration Proximity rating: 4/5
but the EU may have a problem with Labour's demand for a say on trade policy if that implies some degree of decision-making.. EU autonomy red line alert Negotiability rating: 4.5/5
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
The problem at the heart of the #Brexit impasse is still whether the UK remain in a Customs Union with the EU.

Solve this and you largely solve Brexit. 1/Thread
Both the problem, and the failure to address it, is writ large in May's deal.

Officially UK is NOT joining a customs union....but in the absence of unicorns we clearly are.

Either via the Backstop or when its clear 'other arrangements' dont exist to fix the Irish border /2
Unfortunately May never had the courage to confront her Brexiteers over this fact. She fudged in Lancaster House, and kept fudging.

Recall this time last year, as the Irish reality dawned, senior peeps like @DLidington were flying kites on this.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Read 21 tweets
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Andrew Parnall: I Swear Because I Care
@dontbrexitfixit
So, as Mr Farage @nigel_farage said, this leaflet popped through our doors before the Referendum at a cost of £9M, This is probably the only research most people did, it was certainly true for me. Like most people, I took the EU for granted, it was just, there.

1/11
It was the most important decision of our lives, the government made it clear that we already control our own borders and there would be tough new restrictions on access to our welfare system for new EU migrants. The government was clear we should stay in the EU.

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This is the first mention of leaving the Single Market, not that 'we will' as Farage keeps saying, but leaving will create uncertainty & risk. The government made it clear being in the Single Market means more jobs which rather disagrees with Mr Corbyn's Jobs First #Brexit

3/11
Read 11 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) Thread: "We knew what we were voting for" & #Brexit
This shouldn't really need saying but no, we didn't, we couldn't, because of the dishonest campaign ran by the Vote Leavers
History has been rewritten but the following are some edited highlights
#Lab18 #LabourConference2018
2) Firstly, what did Vote Leave promise?

Well Gove said there'd just be a few "Bumps in the Road" in a pre ref debate
strongerin.co.uk/bumps_in_the_r…
3) Leadsom stated that in her expert opinion as a former city worker that there'd be no impact on the British economy
buzzfeed.com/emilyashton/an…
Read 26 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
Before UK politics goes into its normal Sunday morning round of spin on the chat show sofas, a little recap about the #Brexit stage 1 deal.

1/10
A reminder for @AndrewMarr9 @daily_politics @bbcSarahSmith @skynewsniall @RidgeOnSunday -
this is what was agreed in Brussels on Friday
consilium.europa.eu/media/32236/15…

*Please* read it before giving any Brexiteers any wriggle room.

2/10
Eurosceptics have been flying off the handle about Brexit transition today. The object of their ire: Philip Hammond, who acknowledged the UK will be in the Customs Union and Single Market during the transition period:
news.sky.com/story/brexit-t…

3/10
Read 10 tweets

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