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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
A Brexit deal with a transition period is like an amicable separation. You agree to divorce, but you can keep sleeping in the spare bedroom until you find your feet. A no deal Brexit is like running out of the house in the middle of the night with nothing but your pyjamas.
Both are disruptive compared to your old life together. But one is much, much more disruptive than the other.
No deal, I might add, is like running out of the house unprepared for no apparent reason. Nothing makes that particular night any different from any other night, except that you decided it would be when you scarpered. No external impetus is forcing you to run away then.
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
A ship captain or airline pilot doesn't steer based on the aggregate vote of their passengers. They use their expertise and best judgement to steer a safe and sensible course. Our MPs are the same. The people elect them (representative democracy).
But in between general elections they're in charge of their own destiny. They have no obligation to take shouted instructions from the electorate. That's not how our political system works. Every 5 years (or less) we get to pick the next captains, the next pilots.
But that's the extent of our input. The rest of the time MPs act according to their duty of care to do what's *best* for the UK and for their constituents, according to their own judgement.

Don't like what they opted to do? Then vote them out *next time*.
Read 5 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
"Teacher, I haven't left enough time to do my Brexit homework. Is it ok if the whole class pitches in?" The entry for "laughing stock" in the dictionary now just reads "see UK".
Of course the corollary of this is that you can't threaten no deal without gross harm coming to yourself, something that every Remainer has been screaming their lungs out ever since the Brexiters started building shrines to the No Deal Gods.
If you had "told you so" on your Brexit bingo card, you can cross it off now.
Read 4 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Another snippet from my upcoming Brexit book. This one is about our "worthless" EU membership. Enjoy!
I've expanded on the theme of our "worthless" EU membership a little more in this revised version...
Final revision, for now. Here's our "worthless" EU membership, V3...
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
The UK thinks it @LeoVaradkar will have to cave in to demands to have a trade border in Northern Ireland for fear of the economic and political fallout from a no deal.

Is that right? After trip to Dublin I don't think so. Here's why 1/thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
@LeoVaradkar First, the UK strategy. It is to argue - as @SteveBarclay did last week - that Ireland is better to accept trade border by end of 2020 (with 14 month grace period) than an abrupt border via a 'no deal'. /2

Am told @sajidjavid was making same arguments in Dublin last week

At the same time, per @PatLeahyIT UK politicians and officials are going round EU saying Ireland will have to compromise. The old divide and rule. /3

irishtimes.com/news/ireland/i…
Read 21 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Brexit secretary Steve Barclay gave talk in Madrid this morning warning Spaniards of a threat to Spanish sherry, manchego cheese and more in case of no deal #Brexit He said EU had to be less rigid and more creative in finding a deal with Boris Johnson’s gov. /1
The Brexit Secretary pointed to the transition period that would follow a deal and says that was a time to work out alternatives to the backstop BUT EU has said over and again it won’t sign a deal unless it’s satisfied an agreed alternative to the backstop is already on paper /2
Can’t see EU moving from that position bc if it does that will be falling to comply with its own arguament on why backstop/border backup is necessary: protect EU member Ireland and single market and peace process incl all Ireland economy + N/S co-op /3
Read 4 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
So @BorisJohnson heads to meet @JunckerEU filled with optimism about prospects for an 11th-hour deal.

I've tried to do a dispassionate analysis of what deal? Its negotiability in Brussels and its saleability in London? Can he thread the needle? 1/thread
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
@BorisJohnson @JunckerEU DEAL 1 - the 'slice n dice' to abolish backstop.

- Agree all-Ireland SPS, electricity and travel area...and then
- kick the other (customs VAT etc) into transition/trade talks. /2
Negotiability with EU?

- practically zero. Would require massive EU u-turn on 'fully open' border in Ireland, Single market integrity. And to throw Ireland under bus politically.

- A border is a border, even if set back. Tech/exemptions cannot deliver.

Cant see it /3
Read 20 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Right. It's the £39bn question...could @BorisJohnson or other hard brexiteer PM really withhold payment of the #Brexit bill. Legally? Politically?

(Shorter: not really)

1/thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
@BorisJohnson Let's start with the legal position. Brexiteers often sight this March 2017 House of Lords Cmme report as grounds for saying that in a 'no deal' the UK would have no obligation if Article 50 lapsed. /2

publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201617/ld…
@BorisJohnson But as @IainBeggLSE and others explain here, the actual position is more nuanced than that... in truth, you would not really find out until it ended up in the International Court of Arbitration in the Hague. /3

channel4.com/news/factcheck…
Read 19 tweets
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Adam Fleming
@adamfleming
Some important comments on #Brexit from @campaignforleo at a modest press conference in Brussels. He said there's a good opportunity to clinch a deal over the next fortnight. (1)
On a UK-wide customs arrangement: "A lot of countries would take the view that any UK-wide arrangement is really a matter for the future relationship rather than a backstop which is for N Ireland and Ireland. Also there's the whole issue of the level playing field..." (2)
He pointed out there is currently no N Irish Assembly or Executive to approve any new regulatory checks, as reportedly being considered by the UK government. (3)
Read 6 tweets
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Tom Brake
@thomasbrake
The #Brexit that is being implemented is not the one that was sold to the people. As it becomes even clearer that the Leave Campaign misled the electorate, the public must be granted a vote on the deal. Each day this week I will be outlining a broken promise from the gvt.
‘The UK will not be paying into the EU after March 2019.’ The Gvt. have conceded the UK will pay a divorce bill of around £40bn, with payments continuing until 2064 & the PM says the UK should make an ‘appropriate financial contribution’ for participation in EU agencies.
‘The UK will not have to abide by EU rules during transition’. The reality is that the UK will have to abide by all EU rules and regulations including those agreed by member states during transition.
Read 7 tweets

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