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, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
So @hugodixon had an interesting idea in this column:…

Could the Commons amend the Benn Act mandating someone other than Johnson to write the Article 50 Extension letter?

I added it to #BrexitDiagram to see its impact - now V25
Interim probabilities now:
Johnson goes to 17 Oct Summit: 40%
Johnson goes *but no power to send letter*: 17%
Someone else goes as PM: 42%
Johnson is heading for Court: 2%
This option - to keep Johnson in power but to control what he can do more closely - has the impact of keeping him on as PM longer, and lowering the chances a VONC is needed short term.

This option merits more debate and discussion.
And outcomes:
No Deal 31 Oct - 4% ↔️
Art 50 Revoked - 9% ⬆️
Brexit with Deal - 1% ⬆️
GE 2019 - 51% ⬇️
GE 2020 - 21% ↔️
#PeoplesVote - 14% ⬇️
And once more adding one additional route near the top of the diagram has resulted in half a dozen extra boxes lower down... one day I will have all options mapped!

And as ever all the files on my blog:…

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