, 5 tweets, 2 min read
SUPERB factual guide by polling guru @PeterKellner1, busting four key Brexit myths, using (those of a delicate disposition look away) ACTUAL DATA.

1. “Voters don’t want another referendum.” - WRONG. They want one by a crushin two-to-one margin. Cont’d

independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-…
2. “If people vote the same way as last time, Leave would win again.”(The “tell them again” fallacy) - WRONG. Demographic churn alone means it is a meaningfully different electorate, with a significantly more anti-Brexit profile. Cont’d
3. “Voters just want Brexit done.” - WRONG. The vast majority care more about achieving their preferred outcome than timing. Ironically, this is even more pronounced among Brexiters - only one-in-three prioritise speed at any cost. Cont’d
4. “Voters haven’t changed their minds about Brexit.” - WRONG. About one-in-five *have* changed their mind about it, with the change overwhelmingly in Remain’s favour producing a 5% swing against leaving, across all polls this year. Cont’d
5. So, might media stop, for one moment, looking for inane, self-selecting voxpops to support each of those tropes? Might No.10 shut up telling us “what people want”, long enough to actually LISTEN to what people want? ~AA

/end thread 🧵
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