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, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Queen's speech points to one solution to shortage of time for proper scrutiny of EU Withdrawal Agreement Bill if a deal is agreed with Brussels. Because notes on new Immigration and Social Security Bill contains provision for "ending the free movement of EU citizens" and to...
"maintain the treatment of EU citizens resident in the UK before exit day". Which implies that the part of the Withdrawal Agreement Bill dealing with EU citizens could be significantly pared down, shortening the bill very considerably - and essentially leaving it as a bill...
that would confirm UK divorce payments, the transition out of the EU and arrangements to keep open the border on the island of Ireland. Which is not to say that there will actually be a deal needing authorisation by parliament before 31 October. But if rights of EU citizens...
can be legislated on to a great extent after 31 October in separate domestic legislation, then the logistical challenge of ensuring proper scrutiny of the WAB would be reduced. It may help to explain why Downing Street continues to insist there will be "no Brexit delay"
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Robert Peston
@Peston
The position of most of the 21 rebel Tories is that they will support the Letwin amendment AND the prime minister’s Brexit deal. So they will vote for the Withdrawal Agreement Bill at 2nd reading on Tuesday. So that 2nd reading in effect becomes the Meaningful Vote...
And presumably if @BorisJohnson is forced by Benn Act tonight to request three-month Brexit delay, the EU will wait till that deferred meaningful vote on Tuesday before deciding how to respond to that request (which Johnson does not want to make, and will contradict in a...
second letter).
Read 3 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
Since @jeremycorbyn will whip in favour of the Letwin amendment, it is now impossible for @BorisJohnson to view it as anything but inimical, hostile to his ambition of getting the UK out of the EU with his deal on 31st Oct. Because Labour, unlike Letwin himself, does not see...
a vote for Letwin’s amendment as tacit approval for Johnson’s deal. Instead Labour views it as an opportunity to 1) reinforce the requirement on Johnson to request a Brexit delay, and 2) frustrate passage of the Withdrawal Agreement Bill, attaching its own Brexit...
stipulations to it, and probably pushing an amendment that would make any Brexit approval conditional on the UK holding another referendum. Johnson tonight has three choices. He could call the bluff of Tory, ex Tory and Brexity Labour supporters of the Letwin amendment, and...
Read 7 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
The Saturday vote on @BorisJohnson’s deal will be closer than people think. Around 18 or 19 of the Tory rebel exiles will vote for it, subject to a Letwin-ish amendment that the Benn Act applies till the whole of the Withdrawal Agreement Bill is law. @BorisJohnson will see...
that amendment as holding the feet to the flame of the Brexit Spartans. He won’t hate it, whatever his public position. Because the ERG Spartans will fear if they vote against the deal and the WAB, that Brexit delay and no Brexit will follow. Now, the DUP’s opposition to...
Johnson’s deal is a challenge for Johnson. But as I said earlier on @itvnews there is genuinely a chance Johnson’s deal passes - and I never ever said that about any of @theresa_may’s meaningful votes.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
The passage of the Letwin amendment means that the Government will introduce the EU (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill. This bill will authorise the Gvt to ratify the Brexit deal, and give effect to the deal in UK law. Some crucial points about the bill, and potential flashpoints:
1/
The EU(WA)B is needed for 2 reasons. First, treaties don't become part of UK law, and enforceable before UK courts, until Parliament gives them effect in UK law. This bill will do for the withdrawal agreement what the European Communities Act 1972 did for the EU Treaties.
2/
Second, s13 of the EU (Withdrawal) Act 2018 says that the Government cannot ratify the deal *in the first place* unless Parliament has passed an implementing statute.

So the bill isn't only required to make the treaty *work*. It's also required to *make the treaty*.
3/
Read 14 tweets
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Pippa Crerar
@PippaCrerar
NEW: I'm hearing that Jeremy Corbyn and Theresa May could meet tonight to discuss the latest on Brexit talks - still tbc though.
Sources say Jeremy Corbyn told shadow cabinet he expects PM to offer:
- customs agreement that it is basically a union
- Olly Robbins will try to negotiate a say on trade deals w Brussels
- wld only last to next gen election & then up to parties to decide manifestos...
Suggestion is that May wants to table withdrawal agreement bill in HoC *at same time* as workers' rights bill (that guarantees to match EU changes as a minimum) is brought into House of Lords. But (and there's lots of buts)...
Read 6 tweets
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Rob McDowall
@robmcd85
You know as well as I do that much of that is expenses for experience panel members including myself who have written the Social Security Scotland charter and now are designing the framework to measure it and the support staff to allow us to do our work.
We are paid 45p per mile for using our own cars to travel. Many don't have cars and use public transport. Other members of our core group come from all across Scotland and we do what we do without any charge or fee, other than the refund of expenses.
Travel expenses and expenses for an overnight meal capped at £21.50 and the cost of a hotel for those of us who need to stay overnight. We also have a number of support staff as many of us are disabled and have additional support needs.
Read 10 tweets
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Henry Newman
@HenryNewman
One of the things about working around politics now (especially on Brexit) is that I have friends on all sides of debate

@NickBoles has put forward a Norway Plus plan to try to deliver referendum result in a divided commons

A thread on why I respect it but think it's flawed 👇
1/ Although I think it's flawed I recognise Nick & Oliver put it forward in a genuine spirit of compromise and not to obfuscate the referendum

(It's depressing how other MPs less committed to Referendum are happy to trash this soft Brexit plan because they want to stop Brexit)
2/ In #January 2017, when I was first appointed at @OpenEurope, I was fan of leaving via Norway/EEA

I recall discussing it with @CER_Grant but also with many key Leavers

It would have been a sensible staging post & provided a better transition to work out our long term position
Read 21 tweets
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David M. Herszenhorn
@herszenhorn
#EU leaders issue five paragraph statement in long-shot bid to change 100+ minds in #UK Parliament "The Union stands by this agreement and intends to proceed with its ratification. It is not open for renegotiation.
2. The European Council reiterates that it wishes to establish as close as possible a partnership
with the United Kingdom in the future. It stands ready to embark on preparations immediately
after signature of the Withdrawal Agreement to ensure that negotiations can start as
soon as
possible after the UK’s withdrawal.
3. The European Council underlines that the backstop is intended as an insurance policy to
prevent a hard border on the island of Ireland and ensure the integrity of the Single Market. It
is the Union’s firm determination to work
Read 7 tweets
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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
Lots of news sites leading on @theresa_May's claim, in interview w @bbcnickrobinson, that MPs' vote on the Brexit deal will be a choice between what she has negotiated, and no deal at all. But as @instituteforgov has argued, the reality is more complex. 1/
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Ofc, the PM is right that the legal defaults are set to no deal. The UK is scheduled to leave the EU on 29 March 2019. This does not automatically change if the UK and the EU fail to agree a deal, nor does it automatically change if Parliament declines to approve the deal. 2/
But, if Parliament wants to express a view beyond ‘yes or no’, it will be able to. For a start, MPs will be able to amend the motion to approve the government's deal. More explanation of this here. 3/
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/v…
Read 17 tweets

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