@NickBoles has put forward a Norway Plus plan to try to deliver referendum result in a divided commons
A thread on why I respect it but think it's flawed 👇
(It's depressing how other MPs less committed to Referendum are happy to trash this soft Brexit plan because they want to stop Brexit)
The EU are now insisting on a backstop & so to obviate the need for that Norway has become Norway Plus and "for now" has been dropped entirely
We can agree or not on whether Norway Plus is a good long-term place for the UK but first another concern
Even adding a customs union causes significant issues
And resolving those issues requires negotiating - so this isn't a model ready for use on day one after Brexit
Norway is not simply a non-voting EU member
But "Norway" isn't on offer
Anyway, Brussels & EU members are uncomfortable for various reasons with us getting "Norway" even with customs union & so would seek more pluses
They're concerned our services (esp banking) sector is too big & so would need different rules to Norway
So we could get lots of those pluses
The Norway model is not non-voting membership of the EU but a Norway plus plus plus could end up being so
We can't even be sure the EU would let us use the EFTA Court if they insist on tighter enforcement (say ECJ)
All of that would have to be negotiated once we leave
And to get there (on good terms with the EU) we need to pass a withdrawal agreement which is going to look like the current one
Then we can come on to other issues with the plan
Neither do key Europeans I've spoken with for example in Elysée. They worry we would leave that relationship
Wouldn't a future Tory Government be likely to commit to leave it?
That to me seems both superfluous (it's already possible)...
There's a case for aligning with certain EU rules as @OpenEurope has argued (to chagrin of many Leavers)
But I don't see point of narrowing Political Declaration to point exclusively to a destination still open to agreement
They are trying to find a majority in commons for Brexit and they aren't wrong to try to do so but...