, 15 tweets, 4 min read
New CTC report release - Minor Misery: What an Islamic State Registry Says about the Challenge of Minors in the Conflict Zone by @Dr_DMilton & @DonRassler See thread for details, some findings, & highlights ctc.usma.edu/minor-misery-i…
The data & statistics in the report are derived from an IS registry captured by US military forces in Iraq that tracked the number of men, women, & minors being supported by IS-affiliated personnel. The document is almost exclusively focused on Iraq with limited info on Syria.
The spreadsheet included a tab for “Children”, & each minor listed in that tab was associated with an adult male parent or guardian who was listed as playing a role for IS & who was receiving a stipend from the group.
The time period covered by the registry is impossible to say for sure, however, analysis of the document suggests that it was created in June 2015 & that it was last updated during the second half of 2016.
The registry contained data on 101,850 minors who were linked to an adult male being paid a stipend by IS.
The mean age of minors in the dataset is 7.23 years of age. There is a mostly even split when it comes to gender of minors, with 50.22 percent of the entries listed as females and 49.78 as males.
The number of minors accounted for in the document declines by age over time. This trend was different by gender. Beginning at 14, male minors were increasingly siphoned off— most likely to serve in IS’s army.
According to the registry, a total of 16,121 children (16% of total) were born after IS self-announced the creation of its caliphate in June 2014.
Nearly 33,000 minors appear to have experienced the loss or incapacitation of their adult male parent/guardian. The data reveals that 75% were martyred, 22% were detained, 2% were wounded, and 0.1% were "lost".
By analyzing the kunya used by each child’s adult male parent/guardian we were able to infer the nationalities of 76,273 minors. A total of 57 countries were represented.
While the media generally focuses on IS’s foreign recruits, 92% of the minors in the dataset were children listed as being associated with a male parent or guardian from Iraq.
Beyond Iraq, a strong regional presence was seen, with Jordan (1,209), Syria (654), Turkey (380), and Saudi Arabia (375) rounding out the top five nationalities in the dataset.
The number of minors linked to a male parent/guardian from Russia was 635. The number of minors from the Central Asian area (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) was 673.
France is the European country w the largest number of minors (52), w the next being Germany (17). There were no children in the registry whose male parent was from Britain or Belgium, which is notable given the number of recruits that joined the group from those countries.
Small numbers of minors appear in the dataset from the United States (6), Canada (6), and Australia (5).
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