Again, not a ton of recent polls. But it does seem like Warren's numbers are flat after several months of continuous improvement.
53eig.ht/2Wnom9Q
53eig.ht/2Wnom9Q
A couple of interrelated observations:
1) Warren's still in a pretty good position
2) At some point, she'll need to expand her coalition further and she may have picked off most of the low-hanging fruit.
3) "Momentum" is a bit overrated
1) Warren's still in a pretty good position
2) At some point, she'll need to expand her coalition further and she may have picked off most of the low-hanging fruit.
3) "Momentum" is a bit overrated
By "momentum is a bit overrated", I mean this: If a candidate went from polling at 10% *last* month to 15% this month, you might assume she's bound to improve to 20% *next* month. Empirically, that's not true, though. She's roughly as likely to go back down to 10% as up to 20%.
