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Hey folks, excited to announce that we're now publishing our RAPTOR NBA player ratings in real time! They'll update roughly once per day. Here's where to find them 🦖🦖🦖 --> 53eig.ht/2X2Fty9
The early leaderboard is an interesting mix of some of the best players in the league (LeBron, Giannis), potential breakouts (Mitchell, Doncic), and weird sample size flukes (Will Barton? Aron Baynes?) Will likely take around ~20 games for these numbers to stabilize.
My colleague @Neil_Paine has a more on the early-season numbers here. fivethirtyeight.com/features/whos-…
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Everyone's doing "OK boomer" dunks on Biden for this but if you actually watch the clip (and/or do some research), his position on marijuana is quite a bit further to the left than you'd assume from the headlines.
Biden's position on pot seems to be:
—Decriminalize nationally
—Legalize medical nationally
—Let states legalize recreational
—Release all people with pot convictions from jail
—Remove pot from Sched 1.
—Do more research to see long-term harm potential/if it's a "gateway drug"
Granted, politicians have been way way WAY behind the public on pot legalization. But Biden's position is, on several of the points above, a few steps to the left of the Democratic Party platform in 2016, for instance. It's quite a bit to the left of Obama's when he was POTUS.
Read 3 tweets
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Tier 1 NBA title contenders: Bucks, Clippers
Tier 2: 76ers, Rockets, Lakers
Tier 3: Jazz, Celtics, Raptors, Nuggets

Relative to Vegas we're bullish on Milwaukee and bearish on the Lakers. Others fairly similar. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predi…
As a technical aside, Giannis's RAPTOR rating is likely to improve from very good to MVP-level once RAPTOR fully incorporates a strength-of-schedule adjustment. (The Bucks have played a tough schedule so far.) 53eig.ht/349hY9n
The predictive version of RAPTOR (not published, but used to fuel our projections) is more aggressive about adjusting for strength of schedule and thinks Giannis/the Bucks are having a spectacular season. Regular RAPTOR should catch up after another 5-10 games or so.
Read 3 tweets
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Iowa's effect on the polls is a lot more complicated than people think.

There's not a one-size-fits-all bounce from winning the state. Sometimes the bounce is enormous. Sometimes it's NEGATIVE.
As a rough approximation, the bounce is fairly well-predicted by how much better a candidate does in Iowa than in her national polls. e.g. a candidate polling at 10 percent nationally, who wins Iowa with 30%... she's gonna get a bounce. But that's just a rough approximation.
Are you seen as an underdog/surprise winner? (e.g. did you beat your polls?) Are there mitigating factors? (From a neighboring state? Then your win might be discounted.) How big is your margin? What's the media narrative over the course of the night? All that stuff matters, too.
Read 5 tweets

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robjh1: The Conservative Black Cowboy
@robjh1
Google isn't the only American company bending to win China's favorite. Now you have the #NBA. What gives. If Democrats get in office we will all bend to China. #VoteRedToSaveAmerica #jamesharden
This is the tweet in support of free speech that got it all started. Don't we stand for freedom. When did we exempt China? Liberals are only concerned with the might dollar. Everything else be damned. #DarylMorey
President Trump has warned us about China. Meanwhile the Biden and Kerry boys are doing billion dollar deals with them. #HunterBiden #JohnKerry
Read 9 tweets
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CtrlSec
@CtrlSec
📊#Time for monthly #stats

Good news! #ISIS activity on @Twitter decreased again in June: 7 195 new 🎯That's 12% less compared to May.
Again, 88% of these accounts were hacked: old, inactive, weakly protected.
They could easily be frozen in bulk. 😐

Thanks everyone!
#opiceisis
📊Time for monthly #stats

In average, we found 240 new #ISIS accounts per day in #June2019 (May: 263). Always the same guys, coming back again and again, spreading mostly the same propaganda month after month.
A bunch of losers...

#opiceisis
📊Time for monthly #stats

Less good news now. With 6 903 suspensions for 7 195🎯, the outcome (96%) slightly dropped again, by 1%.
@TwitterSupport provided a lower service this month for #ISIS accounts removals, both in terms of quantity...

#opiceisis
Read 6 tweets
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Dr Rob Palmer 🔶
@RobertCPalmer13
Here's the effects of the UNLAWFUL OVERSPEND by Vote Leave. It's based on what's known about VL's campaign methods & their effectiveness.

The EC found in July that both VL & BeLeave breached spending limits, beyond reasonable doubt.

#RevokeArticle50 #PeoplesVote
1.
Vote Leave: The EC concluded that Mr Halsall & VL committed offences under s. 118(2)(c) PPERA 2000. Halsall incurred spending of £449,079.34 which he knew or ought reasonably to have known was in excess of the statutory spending limit for VL.

2.
The EC fined VL £20K for the overspend because it was satisfied beyond reasonable doubt that all of Mr Grimes’ & BeLeave’s spending the ref campaign was incurred under a common plan between Beleave & VL.

3.
Read 19 tweets
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Julian Mozo
@JulianMozo
Se retira un jugador único que no nació predestinado a ser figura pero llegó a convertirse en una estrella mundial. Alguien que fue cortado de una selección bahiense a los 15 años, que recién llegó a la Selección mayor a los 21 y ganó su primer título a los 22. Nada lo detuvo...
Se retira un jugador que se construyó como estrella. Que nació con talentos, claro, pero que tuvo la mentalidad, inteligencia, sacrificio y determinación para trabajar cada día en mejorar los otros, para ocultar debilidades y potenciar virtudes. Ese tal vez sea su mayor legado.
Se retira un jugador que nadie en la #NBA (salvo Buford y Pop) sabía quien era cuando los Spurs lo eligieron en el puesto 57 del draft 99 y en pocos años estará en el Salón de la Fama xq dejó un legado que va mucho más allá de números, récords, premios, elecciones y hasta títulos
Read 36 tweets
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Steve Bullock
@GovernorBullock
Hey folks, I’m about to go on a tweet storm of my own…about dark money in politics. Follow if interested (or watch live here: americanprogress.org/events/2018/05…) 👇🏽
Most of us would agree SCOTUS #CitizensUnited decision was damaging to our representative democracy and to the American people’s faith in our government 1/13
We decried the ruling. Many raised money off it it. But we didn’t actually….do anything about it. We had a chance, but everyone said “game over” and moved on. 2/13
Read 14 tweets
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Eketi Edima Ette
@eketiette
Are you one of those people who's looked back on 2017 and convinced yourself that you haven't achieved anything? Worried about catching up with your mates who seem to have done much better?

Let me tell you a story about #time.

A thread 👇
A long #time ago, back when I was about twelve or thirteen years old, my parents travelled to Uyo.

Before leaving, my mother asked me to prepare Edikang ikong soup so she and my father would eat when they returned.
When I was finished with the soup, it was supposed to look something like this:

*photo credit: waiter foodies.
Read 32 tweets

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