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People. This is not a drill.

The team who theorised the "hot house Earth" scenario, whereby manmade warming triggers a series of in-built planetary feedback looks, say the tipping points are now "active"

This poses an "existential threat to humanity" phys.org/news/2019-11-c…
1. Ice sheets

The Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets contain enough frozen water to raise sea levels 13m

Their "tipping point" exists somewhere between 1-3C temperature rise. We're already at 1C, on path for 4C nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/1…
2. Arctic sea ice

Levels have declined more than 40 percent in 40 years. Ice reflects more than 80 percent of the Sun's radiative force than ocean water

So we're replacing nature's mirror with a radiator
3. Boreal forests

Forests currently absorb around 30 percent of carbon emissions. But we're adding CO2 at such unprecedented rates they can't keep up

At some PPM, forests turn from carbon sink into carbon source, and when that happens we are fucked nationalgeographic.com/environment/20…
4. Permafrost

The CO2 and CH4 contained in permafrost is equivalent to 15 years of global emissions

And it's melting 70 years faster than even the most pessimistic predictions theguardian.com/environment/20…
5. Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

That's the ocean current pattern that keeps European winters temperate, the largest carbon sink in the Northern Hemisphere

It's extremely susceptible to temperature change and has already weakened 15 percent since mid-century
6. Amazon rainforest

A vital carbon sink, biodiversity treasure trove, not to mention home to 30 million people, could stop producing enough rain to sustain itself as soon as 2021

A child born today could learn about the Amazon only in history class theguardian.com/environment/20…
6. Warm-water corals

People seriously don't get how vital coral is. 99 percent of ocean corals will disappear at +2C

But not just the coral. Coral sustains 25% of ALL OCEAN LIFE

3 BILLION people rely on seafood as their primary protein source
Industry seems to think Earth has a thermostat you can raise and lower at will, keep polluting now, suck out CO2 later

This is called overshoot, and ignores all these tipping points

You go above 1.5C and you can't put that genie back in the bottle
The only authority you need on this is the IPCC

Here are its 4 pathways to net-zero

On the left you have the safest, idea scenario, where emissions decline immediately with no overshoot

On the right is only feasible if we transform land area equal to India for CCS
So the only way of guaranteeing we don't cross over these tipping points is the first pathway (P1)

Look what happens to #fossilfuels by 2030, then 2050 👀
The energy industry is powerful and has people in close proximity to govts

They are sophisticated narrative capturers. They have well-paid, intelligent people in their corner

But remember, amid all the spin and untested tech touting: The only safe way is ditching #fossilfuels
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