Frederick Wehry is a very smart guy about Libya but his perception of military strategy is deeply flawed. Almost 20% of the first force was wiped out and Putin is not that keen on Haftar's ability to run things. The UAE is also working on Plan B. foreignpolicy.com/2019/12/05/lib…
We have seen how the Russians also suffered setbacks in Mozambique by applying the wrong skillsets in the forested north. Their own leaked docs and survey from Libya show that there is no clear leader in Libya and the Russians don't have the answer. interpretermag.com/haftar-strateg…
@EebenBarlow is famous for his prickly exterior but is a deeply thoughtful thinker and experienced expert on African conflicts. He points out quite clearly in this piece on Libya that bargain basement troops and planning deliver bargain basement results.…smilitaryandsecurityblog.blogspot.com
Both South Africans and Americans like Erik Prince wanted in on the efforts to suppress the insurgents and were bigfooted by Putin (FRELIMO and Russia are like peas and carrots). Vlad brought a very large goodie basket to the party to get what they wanted tass.com/economy/1074649
Russia promises everything a country needs to survive as long as they give up the goods. The exact transactional model Trump is trying to create but failing. Even Prince is making little traction despite constant mercantile Powerpoints, media and op eds. independent.co.uk/news/world/mid…
Historically we are again at the juncture of deciding whether "strong men" propped up by colonial arrangements can better grass roots democratic solutions to divisive nations. Something we saw in the postcolonial world as socialist leaders were wiped out by coups and tricksters.
The US is only chasing ISIS. Russia accounts for 35 % of arms exports to Africa, followed by China (17 %), United States (9.6 %), and France (6.9 %). Putin held thirteen bilateral meetings with African leaders in Sochi signing MOUs worth $12.5 billion. journal-neo.org/2019/12/06/how…
