, 5 tweets, 2 min read
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Most recent IPCC models show 2°C by around 2040 - total horror. Not all these new models are ready yet, but those from US, UK and France which are highly regarded all point to the same result. We should be talking about this.
2/5
The Hausfather article (heavy ecomodernist slant, zero sense of catastrophic ecological damage at 1.5- 2°C) is clear that 4°C by the 2080s or 2090s is possible.

See here:


3/5
This is bad:

'By 2100, the amount of carbon released by the land could be equivalent to 14 years of current human-caused emissions... These emissions would increase atmospheric carbon dioxide by 66ppm'.

As is faster than expected permafrost melt.


4/5
Perhaps my biggest concern here is the total lack of awareness that this is a grave Ecological Catastrophe. Ecosystems are already collapsing. Corals will go, rainforests are so fragmented recovery looks unlikely.

(I don't trust conservative politicians to deliver at cop26

5/5
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