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Because of specific swing state leanings this year, Trump HAS to take Florida. (Dems don't need Florida if they win the right combination of other states.)

The most current polls show Biden being the only Dem who could beat Trump in Florida.
Current polling suggests Sanders COULD scrape by with a narrow victory over Trump.

But he would HAVE to take all four of these: Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

Biden's lead over Trump beats Sanders's lead over Trump in all four of these states.
(by the way I used the most current polling on 270-to-win, to get these numbers) 270towin.com/polls/2020-pre…
Arizona shows a virtual tie between Trump and everyone else. If Sanders picked up AZ (I'm thinking it's a bit unlikely) then he could afford to lose either Wisconsin or Nevada.
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