@McKinsey_MGI has put out an interesting report in their 'Future of #Asia' series titled; 'Corporate Asia: A capital paradox.' Here are a few take aways..(1/8) 43% of the world's largest firms by revenue are based in Asia...#GlobalTrends
2/8 However 'Economic profitability has declined around the world over the past decade' (Not something that is reflecting in stock market indexes), with #Asia accounting for about half of the decline...#GlobalTrends#Macro#Risk Side note: It's good have a tech/IP focused econ...
3/8 A rough ROIC - "..implying that, u would have needed $0.80 of invested capital to earn $1 of rev. 10 years ago. Today, u need almost $1.10 of invested cap. 2 earn that $1 of revenue."...Good thing corp sector has not levered up big time...#GlobalTrends#Macro#Risks
4/8 What sectors/regions has been destroying profits during the last decade? Tough times in '#Energy & Materials' European financials & #China's (strategic?) allocations to "value-destroying" sectors...#GlobalTrends#Macro#Risks
5/8 "Increased capital intensity of the #Energy & Materials sector has been a prime factor in recent economic profitability losses"...cyclical or structural? And what does it mean for the #commodity exporting nations going forward? #GlobalTrends#Macro#Risks
7/8 #China's economic loss has been due to domestic services and capital-goods sectors (Bring manufacturing back?) as well as energy & materials...#GlobalTrends#Macro#Risks
8/8 However there are "pockets of excellence in #Asia" 4 investors...The deepest pockets r in '#Tech-driven (IT & PMP), a space dominated by the #US so far...U can kind of understand why #China is keen 2 keep their China 2025 plan rolling.. #PowerOfInnovation#SoftwareAteTheWorld
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3/5 #US looking for some revenues...#tax bracket creep...An attempt at some humour; modelling potential cuts to deficit to keep debt equal to 100% of GDP...Consequences of rising #debt & some historic context...#Deficits 2020-2030...#Macro#Risk
The Tower of Basel dropped the 'Quarterly Review: International banking & financial market developments' so I loaded up on espresso & blueberries & dove in2 this trove of soothing CB lingo mixed with some Sufi wisdom & colourful illlus: bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_… Some takeaways 1/5
2/5 Riddle me this; "Stock markets rebound unevenly amid downgraded earnings expectations." & "Corp #credit spreads tighten despite indications of persistently high credit #risk" & "funding costs for #EM sovs drop despite weak pf inflows."
3/5 Heads up: "Firms desired leverage can be excessive if companies do not account for all financial distress costs..." "Share buybacks rose just as valuations began to rise..." & "#Credit#risk rose with leverage but it only revealed itself during market stress..."
WIPO has published their +400 page 'Global #Innovation Index 2020: Who will finance innovation report out...full of insights...here are a few key takeaways...(1/3) Bracing for a downturn & impact from the economic slowdown...
3/3 Top R&D spending by sector as share of global top R&D spenders...Top R&D spending firm by sector...Share of global #VC inv by sector...The positive relationship between #innovation & development...
@McKinsey_MGI has a report out titled; '#Risk, resilience & rebalancing in global value chains' it holds some good insights into trends in #GlobalTrade...Here are some takeaways...1/4 Large companies has global #SupplyChains w. 1000s of suppliers, disruption risks varies...
2/4 #Globalisation has been changing in the last decade, sector concentration varies between industries, poten. losses from #SupplyChain disruptions can be as high as 42% of 1 years EBITDA..Supply chain #shocks are becoming more frequent & severe...