Seeing the predicament PTM faces in Pakistan today,its important to understand HOW a movement that grew out of populist initial grievances became largely impotent as the Afghan peace process progressed..
This thread will delve lightly into why this happened..
(a) initial alliance goal-congruence
(b) path management
(c) renegotiating an exit
1/n
Proxy-Alliance Bargaining in stage (a) should ALWAYS be proxy-led, NEVER state-led
2/n
reduces proxy's longevity to effectively destabilise the mutual adversary(rival state)..
increases narrative hypocrisy..
reduces proxy to a mere political nuisance(neutralises path dependence)
3/n
4/n
5/n
6/n
IF the theatre advantage is lost,the proxy becomes all but impotent vs the rival state’s military
7/n
8/n
9/n
Proxy management is not an exact science,but it has some basic principles
10/n
Those who had braved the Pashtun Long March stand failed by "ALL"
11/11
'Delegation of War to Rebel Organisations' by Salehyan
'The Security dilemma in Alliance Politics' by Snyder
'Agents of Destruction' by Byman/Kreps
'The Destruction of a Nation' by George Wright