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The UK government is about to legislate xenophobia into law in the guise of a new "points-based immigration system" which will crater whole industries, from hospitality to farming, like an asteroid strike. ☄️
It also plans to compel the sick, disabled and elderly (and full-time students) to replace the lost EU migrants...
theguardian.com/uk-news/2020/f…
Here's a fuller definition of that awesome untapped pool of labour, from the HOC library: "The main economically inactive groups are students, people looking after family and home, long term sick and disabled, temporarily sick and disabled, retired people and discouraged workers"
Many of that group already do thankless and vital jobs uncompensated, have other demands on their time, or put in a whole working life already. But now Priti Patel sees them as workfield fodder...
It's also interesting to see what Priti Patel and her fellow Tory wreckers really thought of British workers in more unguarded times, when they had a book to write...

bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, 🇬🇧 🔜 🇪🇺
@uk_domain_names
What Leavers always seem to forget is that the EU isn't some organisation lording it over the UK. It is a club of nations joined together for common purpose. We used to have a say in the running of the club, including on setting the budget and deciding what to spend it on.
To participate in the club, you have to follow the rules made jointly by all the members of the club.

We were never very good at it!

Call it hubris, arrogance, British exceptionalism, whatever you like... but for some reason many people felt the rules shouldn't apply to the UK.
But if you've ever been a member of any kind of club or society, you'll know they're not in the business of making rules just for one person.

Why that lesson was lost on so many when it came to Brexit, we'll probably never really know...
Read 4 tweets
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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, 🇬🇧 🔜 🇪🇺
@uk_domain_names
Here are some examples of the benefits we used to get from EU membership. (Handy but sad reminder!)

Almost none of the value of these benefits was captured in the £9 billion/year headline figure for EU membership, because they're not simply "money going in"/"money coming back".
1. Unfettered access to the largest trade block in the world
2. Free trade deals with countries around the world, including Japan, Canada and South Korea
3. Just-in-time manufacturing, the kind that supports millions of jobs in the automotive, aerospace and other industries
4. A wide-open border between Northern Ireland and Ireland, with no customs or other checks between NI and the rest of the UK
5. Support for the Good Friday Agreement & active promotion of the Irish peace process including PEACE funding (over EUR 1.5 billion to NI from 1995-2020)
Read 22 tweets
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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, 🇬🇧 🔜 🇪🇺
@uk_domain_names
Our infinitely argued over EU membership cost...

A) It's £9 billion a year. Cue hair tearing, shirt rending etc.

B) It's 37p per person per day - screaming bargain, considering everything it gave us.

A) & B) are the same. All in the framing! (And neither is the full picture.)
Both A) and B) miss the bigger picture because, although they're the net membership cost, they don't capture any of the value of EU membership outside of the money flowing directly back to us.

For example, firms saved a fortune with zero friction trade.
Indeed, HMRC's own figures suggest extra costs of £7.5 billion/year in paperwork and red tape if customs checks are introduced and trade with the EU is no longer frictionless. That means EU membership was worth £7.5 billion/year to UK firms in lower admin costs. (Not captured!)
Read 6 tweets

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Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
The answer to most of these questions is there will be no change whatsoever until the end of this year because we’ll still be in transition and after that we don’t know, because the actual Brexit deal hasn’t been worked yet.
But here are some factual answers.

Is Boris Johnson pro or anti-Brexit?

Absolutely pro, though there is some evidence to suggest this was not the case in the past.
Will Brexit affect my holiday?

Not this year but after that we don’t know, lots of details to be worked out on visas and health insurance, international driving licences and the like.
Read 18 tweets
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Doug Rand
@doug_rand
"If you listen to Trump talking about how he wants a points-based #immigration system & wants people who are wealthier, better educated, higher skilled & not from countries he's spoken of in derogatory, profane language — this is it."

(via @camiloreports)
cbsnews.com/news/supreme-c…
@camiloreports "This is the policy that aims to do that, without Congress approving it whatsoever. It's a way to screen out people, not just from developing countries, but from any country, that the govt has decided aren't wealthy enough, aren't healthy enough & don't speak English well enough"
@camiloreports "This regulation is not about public benefits, except insofar as it's scaring people to stay away from public benefits — even when they don't have to."

See:
urban.org/urban-wire/pub…
Read 5 tweets
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Dr Rakib Ehsan
@rakibehsan
Been asked a great deal about how Labour managed to delivered such a catastrophic performance in last month's General Election.

Here are some of my thoughts - the thrust of it is that in the ongoing 'culture battle', Labour was well and truly taken to the cleaners.

THREAD 👇
Labour's fudging of Brexit was disastrous.

If the Labour Party offered an appealing vision of a post-Brexit, social-democratic nation-state - a policy agenda which supported political decentralisation and a 'local' approach to economic regeneration - it could have done well.
But what about the young pro-Remain voters in the core cities?

Labour could have led on this by saying:

"We know you may be disappointed with leaving the EU result. But we will offer a post-Brexit Britain where investing in you will be our priority"

Pro-democracy, pro-youth.
Read 14 tweets
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Gwilym Pryce
@GwilymPryce1
Our new paper on the employment impacts of immigration is just out in Urban Studies: bit.ly/35iBgt7 with @DanOlner & B.Fingleton. I guess it’s not a great day to have a paper published! But our findings do have relevance for the next phase of Brexit in 2 ways:

1/6
(i) we find strong evidence of net +ive impact of EU migrants on employment. Corollary: provides an imperative for Boris’s proposed points-based immigration system to take this into account? @jdportes @MigObs

2/6
(ii) We develop a robust way of estimating the local employment impacts of immigration, previously not possible. Applied to London as proof-of-concept. Corollary: Opens up possibility estimating sub-national variations in the impacts of immigration on employment.

3/6
Read 7 tweets
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Dr Dominic Pimenta
@juniordrblog
This’ll be fun, Boris Johnson makes a “sacred” pledge.
Let’s have a look then. /thread
1. >> "Drive the withdrawal agreement through Parliament..." - this was already voted through to second reading, BoJo pulled it himself.

>> "get Brexit done..." - negotiations will take years, it will take a decade to be "done".
>> "by January 31st"... or was it March 29th, Apr 12th or Oct 31st?
bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-pol…
Read 15 tweets
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David Phinnemore
@DPhinnemore
"The DUP insists that elected representatives from Northern Ireland must have a say over any new regulations introduced by the EU that would apply to the North after Brexit." - @denisstaunton

A quick reminder of what the Protocol on Ireland/NI says:
irishtimes.com/news/world/uk/…
Article 15(4) provides for the automatic application of 'amendments' or 'replacements' to those EU acts - 'a small fraction of EU Single Market rules' according to UK government - applicable to Northern Ireland and set out in the Annexes to the Protocol.
Where a 'new' EU act is concerned, the UK and the EU in the Joint Committee must agree to apply it to Northern Ireland.

How the UK determines its position is for the UK to decide.

Which brings us to the May government's 'commitments to Northern Ireland' in January 2019...
Read 4 tweets

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