So just to put these numbers (4000-12000 dead, up to 80000 needing ICU in NSW) in context. theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
Here is a snapshot from the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society CORE Report of 2018. Count the numbers. This is private and public ICU beds. #COVID19 
Here are the yearly total admissions as per the same report.
It's unclear to me from the coverage if this estimate, even assuming it is worst case, is 80,000 ICU admissions over a potential 22 week time first wave. #COVID19
80,000 ICU admissions over 22 weeks is 3636-ish admissions per week. There are 874 beds in NSW. Most admissions don't go for just a day.
80,000 ICU admissions is more than a year's ICU work, about 16 months I think, crammed into 22 weeks. #COVID19
So I'm not sharing that because I think that sort of mismatch is inevitable. It's just to highlight that the health system will be working very hard. Making the job of the health system easier probably needs everyone chipping in.
Hospitals are already sharing info on how much extra capacity they can generate, how they can lean on the talents of staff differently, how they can be more flexible. I bet GPs are doing all sorts of prep. #COVID19
I just think there's not many people inside the health system who wouldn't appreciate a stronger response with measures we know limit spread from other areas of the grand machine of state. #COVID19
Here's the report those snapshots came from if you'd like a look. #COVID19 anzics.com.au/wp-content/upl…
