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"The mean age of those who died in Italy was 81 years and more than two-thirds of these patients had diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, or cancer, or were former smokers." thelancet.com/journals/lance…
"Of the patients who died, 42·2% were aged 80–89 years, 32·4% were aged 70–79 years, 8·4% were aged 60–69 years, and 2·8% were aged 50–59 years (those aged >90 years made up 14·1%). The male to female ratio is 80% to 20%"
"Health-care professionals [in Italy] have been working day and night since Feb 20, and in doing so around 20% (n=350) of them have become infected, and some have died." thelancet.com/journals/lance…
"Considering that the number of available beds in intensive care units in Italy is close to 5200, and assuming that half of these beds can be used for patients with COVID-19, the system will be at maximum capacity, according to this prediction, by March 14, 2020"
"percentage of patients requiring ARDS treatment is close to 10% for patients who are actively infected, at least in Lombardy [so] we will need approximately 4000 beds in intensive care units during the worst period of infection, expected to occur in about 4 weeks from March 11."
"our analysis tends to suggest that measures to reduce transmission should certainly be implemented, as our [Italian] government did on March 9, by inhibiting people's movement and social activities, unless strictly required" thelancet.com/journals/lance…
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