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This is complete horseshit. It’s the wishful thinking of politicians who have no sense what “exponential” means.

Exponential is not a “wave”. Exponential is case, case, case ... then cluster, cluster, cluster ... then BOOM.

Right now the US is just starting the cluster phase.
Plus this conveniently ignores the reality of what happened when China abandoned Wuhan and the city fell.

They stopped counting the sick. They stopped counting the dead.

My guess is 500k got sick and 20k died. In one city.

en.people.cn/n3/2020/0202/c…
PS. This Wuhan estimate is my “don’t get zerohedged by Twitter” estimate.
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
The silence out of Japan is deafening.

I think that Japan, like the UK, is pursuing a strategy of madness with #DontTestDontTell and #HerdImmunity.

BOJ is AWOL.
Japan, a country of 130 million, has tested 13,000 people for CV-19. If you don't see that Japan is one of the foremost proponents of #DontTestDontTell, you're just not paying attention.
There is no country in the world where I am more curious to see stats on hospitalizations for viral pneumonia over past 2 months than Japan.
Read 3 tweets
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
Please read and RT.

I’m going to relay this correspondence with an Alabama radiologist as a Twitter thread.

It’s a crowded field, but no state gov’t has handled CV-19 more pathetically than my home state of Alabama. It's been total #DontTestDontTell.

epsilontheory.com/tick-tock/
"Ben, XY here. Radiologist at [hospital] in [small AL town] and [medical center] between B'ham and Montgomery. I could write a tome but neither of us has time! Thought I would share a few anecdotes.”
“Monday March 9. 50 yo patient smoker, recent travel, copd, coughing, was intubated, classic ground glass and consolidation changes on CT. State (ADPH) came out the next day and told hospital administration, "No need to test, didn't meet criteria." WTF. Who the heck is then?”
Read 11 tweets
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Ben Hunt
@EpsilonTheory
Yale New Haven Hospital is a tertiary medical center, one of the crown jewels of medical care and research, not just in the US, but in the world.

The confirmed CV-19 patient and staff infection here is the worst news of the week, and it’s not even close.

nhregister.com/news/article/Y…
Tertiary medical centers are the one irreplaceable facility that we MUST keep safe in this war against CV-19. Not the White House. Not the Capitol Building. Not even a military base.

If our tertiary medical centers fall, we fall. It’s really as simple as that.
Who’s to blame for what happened at YNHH? It’s not Trump. It’s not the CDC. This is on Gov. Ned Lamont, whose ostrich head-in-sand performance (and that’s what it is, a performance) rivals that of Alabama’s Kay Ivey.

Tick-tock, Connecticut, tick-tock.

epsilontheory.com/tick-tock/
Read 3 tweets

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Daniel Sinclair
@_DanielSinclair
A really heartbreaking sight. The sacrifices from health workers in China have been immense.
This is the context of that video, reportedly related to the death of hospital director Liu Zhiming.
This is making the rounds, claiming to be Chinese escaping the country into Vietnam. I'm almost certain that it is misrepresented, and that this is not true.
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@thedevman1
WHY @TheDemocrats can’t win in 2020
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ella⁷
@minjiiminie
NAM2SEOK AU | FIRST TIME

Namjoon and Hoseok are best friends whose whole dynamic turns upside down once they meet Kim Seokjin, the handsome brother of a mutual friend of theirs. They decide to compete and pursue him, only for Seokjin to tell them he would like both of them.
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Will Drabold
@WillDrabold
I'm at Water's Edge Brewery in Lake Ridge, Virginia tonight. Six of the seven VA House of Delegates seats here are held by Republicans. Tonight, that may change wildly.
Those seats in Prince William County, Virginia's second most populous, are a test of the anti-Trump grassroots movements spurred on by the Democratic party and progressive groups.
Of 8 groups, like @MoveOn, @BoldProgressive and @TheDLCC, that made endorsements in VA House races, 41% of their endorsements came to six Democrats challenging Republican incumbents in this county.
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