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Media reporting Imperial College have redone the maths. Assumptions not correct. UK plan to tackle #covidー19 is in disarray. Suppression now required for 12-18 months in the hope of a vaccine. 250k deaths the best case scenario. Human and economic impact profound. Jesus wept.
“Situation is much more serious than anticipated. Demand on ICU twice as much as thought”.
Concluded that epidemic suppression through prolonged isolation would halve the death rate
This is the reason for the sudden ramping up of social distancing measures today
My comment... the experiment we’ve been subjected to this past couple of weeks is utterly disgraceful.
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