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if 10% of Californians get COVID-19 (a low estimate) and 1% of them get so sick they need to be in the ICU (also a low estimate), California would need 39,000 ICU beds.

we only have 7,200 statewide.

“It’s a potential brewing time bomb.” latimes.com/california/sto…
Gov. Newsom declined to say how many ICU beds would likely be needed in California. He met with hospital leaders Tuesday but only provided broad strokes.

“We had a very candid and very somber, if not sobering, conversation,” he said. “None of it surprised any of us.”
some estimate half the population will catch COVID and 5% will need ICU care. in that scenario, CA would need 975,000 ICU beds.

we only have 7,200. this is why we have to slow the virus’ spread — so all 975,000 don’t show up to the hospital at once latimes.com/california/sto…
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