Profile picture
, 7 tweets, 2 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
NYCだけで1日で2000人近くのCOVID-19患者が増加、医師にも感染者が出て医療キャパをそろそろ越えそう。NYCの武漢化、イタリア化のインパクトは大きいですね。陽性の人の半分以上は50歳以下というのも..。
NYCのインフル様患者数、肺炎患者数、3月に入ってから急増しており、これの大部分がCOVID-19であるのは間違いなさそう。まさに"オーバーシュート"という語がぴったりな感じ。
www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/dow…
こういう肺炎患者の急激な増加は日本ではこれまではなく、それは検査数が少ないというだけでは説明はできず、日本で患者数増加が抑えられているのもおそらく間違いないところ。しかし、この理由が不明であるわけで、日本も突然こうなってしまう可能性は結構あるといわざるを得ないですね。
日本での増加が少ない理由は、こまめな手洗いなどの衛生習慣、マスク着用者が多いこと、静かにしゃべる、握手・ハグをしない等言われてますが、ウイルスのストレインの違いによる可能性も否定できないですよね。欧米のストレインでは感染性が高くなってしまっている、という可能性。
日本では、この連休で行楽地が営業再開していていたりして、今、かなり安心ムードに傾いているように思えるんですが大丈夫ですかね...。今しばらくこれまで同様「社会的距離」を十分とっておいたほうが良いのでは。
chunichi.co.jp/s/article/2020…
武漢からの帰国者にはきちんとした対策が講じられたわけですが、どういうわけか、欧米から帰国している方々は、わりと普通に帰国して普通に生活されてしまってるんですよね？！ストレインによる感染性の違いの可能性も考慮するとこれはかなり問題であるように思えるのですが。
「東京で感染拡大、４日間に３割  「最近はヨーロッパなど海外から帰国後に発症しているケースが多い」 」
news.goo.ne.jp/article/kyodo_…
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Tsuyoshi Miyakawa

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tsuyomiyakawa see all

Profile picture
Tsuyoshi Miyakawa
@tsuyomiyakawa
My editorial paper entitled, "No raw data, no science: another possible source of the reproducibility crisis". When I feel the results are too beautiful, I requested raw data before sending it out for review. 40 out of 41 did not send me the right data.
molecularbrain.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…
21 of them were just withdrawn without providing raw data. 19 of them were rejected due to insufficient raw data (ex. just one sample per group provided) and/or to mismatches between raw data and the results shown. Mismatches are mostly huge, not subtle.
14 out of those 40 that were withdrawn or rejected were published in other journals (impact factor from 2.2 to 4.7; mean: 3.37). 12 journals had a policy requiring or encouraging raw data sharing upon request and so I requested raw data. None out of 12 gave me what I requested.
Read 18 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
AgainstPoliticalCorruption
@Tito10464327
Importante gente:

No menos de 26,000 científicos se oponen al lanzamiento de la tecnología 5G 📳📶💀

m.facebook.com/story.php?stor…
US Naval Medical Research Institute - 1972 Declassified.

Y ésto no es 5G - 2019.
5G Technologies in South Korea, Iran.
Read 12 tweets
Profile picture
Alex Schiller
@alexdschiller
We lost power for like 8 days after hurricane Irma. Our phones only worked sporadically, if at all. On maybe day 3, I drove about 9 miles to a parking lot near a working cell tower. I checked in w/ friends & family, submitted some documents & pictures to insurance companies...
1/
...sought out locally relevant news and timelines. Where to go for water. If the tax deadline had been extended. How to make my mortgage payment. What stations had gas. When we might get power.

It was all so present. So immediate.

2/
I remember looking at facebook. My local friends feeds were of devastation and largely unsolvable problems, and so, so many questions. While for everyone outside the blast radius, life just goes on. Birthdays and pet pics and memes and life, as it should be.

3/
Read 15 tweets
Profile picture
John Dennehy
@DrJDennehy
NYC need to cancel everything. Everyone needs to start social distancing now. If it feels too early, it's the right time. If we wait, it will be too late. #shutdownNYC #COVIDー19
NYC is the most densely populated urban area in the country. The first NY case was on March 2. Two weeks later, we have 613 confirmed cases. I plotted the number of current NY cases by day to see the trend. Data from @BNONews
An exponential growth equation provides the best fit for the data.
Read 11 tweets
Profile picture
Debra Caplan
@debra_caplan
During the 1918 flu pandemic, NYC health authorities moved slowly to combat the disease at first. They thought it would peak quickly and go away. But when it didn’t, NYC health officials came up with an unusual plan - and it worked (1)

We can learn from this history #COVID19nyc
NYC emerged from 3 waves of the 1918 pandemic with a far lower fatality rate than neighboring big cities. NYC had a death rate of 4.7 per 1000. Boston had 6.5. Philly had 7.3.

NYC mitigated a pandemic through public health measures once and can do it again (2)
Royal S. Copeland was brand new on the job as NYC Health Commissioner in 1918 (today, that’s Oxiris Barbot @NYCHealthCommr). He was an ophthalmologist who decided to handle the crisis differently from every other city in the US. His creativity saved lives. (3)
Read 9 tweets
Profile picture
Cara TXZEAL
@Cara_TXZEAL
#COVID19 Flight attendant for Korean Air dx'd in Korea. She flew flights in/out of LAX/Seoul as well as Tel Aviv/ Seoul.

Also believed she walked Los Angeles Koreatown prior to return flight to Seoul.

Source Korean news &South Korea's Center for Disease Control.
This also on the heels of US military confirmed case in Seoul yesterday.

coronavirus #COVID19 #COVID2019 #COVIDKorea

@aHEMandias @RadChick4Cast @chiIIum @turnbolt11 @RMachArts @RedPill_1984
@aHEMandias @RadChick4Cast @chiIIum @turnbolt11 @RMachArts @RedPill_1984 RT'ing this here in today's thread on the earlier released but non-peer reviewed Los Alamos paper tweeted a week or so ago. Peer reviews take a long time.

Good explainer on R0 and how perception changed based upon reality of early patients.

Read 38 tweets
Profile picture
Cara TXZEAL
@Cara_TXZEAL
🚨🦠📢😷South #Korea ROK 😷📢🦠🚨

Coronavirus alert level to RED

1 US Forces Korea dependent has been dx'd w/ Coronavirus.

2/24 new thread #Covid_19 #COVID19Korea

@turnbolt11 @moneypenny_2020 @BabeReflex_8 @aHEMandias @RadChick4Cast @RMachArts @DoodlesTrks @SpicyNoodles2
🦠🚨📢😷Digital warriors:

Please feel free to add news, reports, updates, and new studies w/ sources .... local and global.

#Covid_19 #Covid19usa #COVID #COVID19Korea #COVID19China
ROK Tracker in next tweet. US Forces Korea
#Covid_19
#COVID19Korea
#COVID

Read 32 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Iran #CoronavirusUSA #FactsMatter #PanicInDC #StayTheFHome #Bridgeport #CT #CentralAmerica #COVID19 #Kingcounty #UnsealNXIVM #Crew #coronavirus #Minnesota #died #COVID19US #NJ #COVID2019 #healthclubs #Canadian #Maryland #COVID #TrumpAdmin #NewHaven #ISRAEL

Embed code for your website

×
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!