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America may well have—*just today*—10,000 new coronavirus cases and 100+ new coronavirus fatalities. This means that *today in America* may be the *worst day* for *new* coronavirus cases over the whole duration of this worldwide pandemic. It's *past time* for a #NationalLockdown.
PS/ A #NationalLockdown would still allow people to go to the grocery store, bank, pharmacy, doctor's office, and hospital. And obviously essential personnel—first responders, USPS, some food deliverers—would be able to go outside. But otherwise, folks would need to stay indoors.
IMPORTANT UPDATE/ As I wrote this—over just a matter of minutes—the daily coronavirus infection figure in the United States jumped from well under 10,000 to *13,931*. Folks, we're running out of time for a #NationalLockdown. It has to happen *right now*. The president *must* act.
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More from @SethAbramson see all

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Seth Abramson (@🏠)
@SethAbramson
(THREAD) As Trump threatens to roll back "social distancing" measures at the height of the worst global public health crisis in a century—with America at its epicenter—his lies about coronavirus are coming fast and furious. In this thread I address a few. I hope you will RETWEET.
1/ No one in the world—including medical experts—knows what the mortality rate (or CFR, "case fatality rate") for coronavirus is now or will be by the end of the pandemic. Anyone telling you they *know* what we're looking at here in terms of the lethality of coronavirus is lying.
2/ Trump and his team are cherry-picking the rosiest scenarios for their political rhetoric, telling us the CFR for coronavirus will be between .5%—5 times worse than the seasonal flu—and 1.5% (15 times worse). So many things are wrong with that, it's hard to know where to start.
Read 27 tweets
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Seth Abramson (@🏠)
@SethAbramson
Nah I just know when to scrape the gum off my shoe
He's a Mud Golem summoned via 31 eldritch cantrips known only to the residents of a single Russian shtetl in 1921
He's 89 cats shoved into a Kentucky Wildcats jersey who tweet using a pulley system while high on catnip
Read 7 tweets
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Seth Abramson (@🏠)
@SethAbramson
All day today people wondered why I was so worked up about disproving—with tons of data—Trump's false claim that the case fatality rate for coronavirus will end up well under 1%. I said that his misinformation is dangerous. And now someone has tragically died from it. I feel ill.
Some data I didn't discuss earlier: in the largest data-set yet, China, the closed-case CFR is 4.29%. Even if—as some say—50% of cases are asymptomatic and don't end up in the pool, the CFR would still be 2.15%. We don't have enough data yet, no—but have no reason to trust Trump.
Worth remembering, too—and oddly, Trump is keen on reminding us of this, albeit for different reasons—there are so many seasonal flu deaths, with few tested post-mortem, that we're almost certainly counting some coronavirus deaths as seasonal flu deaths. That'll remain an issue.
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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Dave Feldman
@DaveKeto
1/ I'm an optimist and have no doubt we'll get through this.

But without question, the seriousness of #covid19/#coronavirus is unmistakable. In just the last 24 hours alone it has shown an extraordinary degree of downstream collateral ramifications both economic and supply line.
2/ Both US and UK markets suffered their worst day since 2008. The @DowJones plunged more than 2,000 to lose 7.79%.

For those who know to watch for it, the Fed is increasing its repurchase agreements (repo) to a whopping $150 billion.
3/ Italy just now extended its lockdown to the entire country.

"The decree provides for banning all public events, closing cinemas, theatres, gyms, discos and pubs, funerals, weddings and all sport events... All schools and universities [closed to apr 3]
news.sky.com/story/coronavi…
Read 9 tweets
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Memelord
@dailydigger19
New #Coronavirus thread starts now. Click this tweet and scroll up and you'll eventually get back to January 23rd. Have fun with that.
Starting soon.
#Coronavirus situation in Iran among the grimest
Read 445 tweets
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Tyler Young
@tylerisyoung
CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19)
This is a roundup of what I found to be the most interesting & helpful sources on my journey into the void. #Coronavirus #Pandemic #Misinformation #CDC #CPP #WHO
This is for friends & family, but also to raise concern over media censorship & begin a discussion of what are best practices for both traditional & decentralized media outlets. This is a collection of sources to tell a larger story and spark interest.
Very few sources peer reviewed. Some behind paywalls. Some mainstream news. Some International News. Some in other languages (Use chrome). Some Harvard medical Journals. Some unverified. Some factually incorrect. Have some salt with your rice & beans.
Read 132 tweets
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Liz Specht
@LizSpecht
Well, here's why the #coronavirus diagnostics seem to be all over the place... one day a patient tests negative, the next day positive. If the RT-PCR methods described in this peer-reviewed JAMA paper are considered up to par, this is hopeless. jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
There appears to be no non-viral control target for the RT-PCR & no normalization or even quantification of the sample RNA. It's just whatever comes off of a throat swab. An aggressive swabber will have more positive results. Weak swabbers will produce false negatives.
Is there something I'm missing here? I'm fluent in qRT-PCR but not in clinical settings... but I'd be shocked if it's considered acceptable to not normalize sample loads in this context.
Read 3 tweets
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Memelord
@dailydigger19
New #Coronavirus thread. Tagging someone in this tweet makes me paranoid I ruined it.

The old thread is here though
Here's what the #Coronavirus hospital looks like, 4 days of construction later. They're working as fast as they can but is it too late, regardless?
Family members cry as their loved ones get bused off to a #Coronavirus quarantine zone in Wuhan
Read 222 tweets
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Chris Emerson 🇺🇸
@emerson_chris
#Coronavirus @ScottAdamsSays
@Styx666Official #Coronavirus
@CBSThisMorning #Coronavirus
Read 130 tweets

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