The system of checkpoints between states has now arisen. Hawaii, Alaska, Rhode Island, Florida all require out-of-state visitors to quarantine.
States are limiting travelers from red zones/hotspots while they try to turn their own states into green zones.
npr.org/sections/coron…
States are limiting travelers from red zones/hotspots while they try to turn their own states into green zones.
npr.org/sections/coron…
Temporary bureaucratic things have a way of becoming permanent. This could be similar to the sudden breakup of the USSR and Eastern Bloc.
From one USA to 50 states, from one EU to 27 member states?
From one USA to 50 states, from one EU to 27 member states?
All through the 1980s the USSR & Eastern Bloc tottered, and then suddenly fell from 1989-1991. Just broke up into member states.
All through the 2010s the USA & EU tottered. And the EU is now arguably de facto broken up. Will the USA follow?
All through the 2010s the USA & EU tottered. And the EU is now arguably de facto broken up. Will the USA follow?
I'd been thinking about this for years, but mainly within the paradigm of the next financial crisis.
I now realize this was a failure of imagination, analogous to the one Thiel describes below.
fs.blog/2014/09/peter-…
I now realize this was a failure of imagination, analogous to the one Thiel describes below.
fs.blog/2014/09/peter-…
Thiel has another line: "how do you achieve your ten year goal in six months"?
Well, by analogy, the virus crisis is compacting ten years of gradual change into six months.
An enormous accelerant on some trends, a total reversal on others.
cnbc.com/2017/02/10/her…
Well, by analogy, the virus crisis is compacting ten years of gradual change into six months.
An enormous accelerant on some trends, a total reversal on others.
cnbc.com/2017/02/10/her…
Gates saw the pandemic.
Thiel saw US deficit in physical innovation, and the fact that the next big (or bad) thing doesn't look like the last.
Kai-Fu Lee saw the rise of Chinese innovation in AI Superpowers.
Many pieces were there. Synthesis wasn't.
Thiel saw US deficit in physical innovation, and the fact that the next big (or bad) thing doesn't look like the last.
Kai-Fu Lee saw the rise of Chinese innovation in AI Superpowers.
Many pieces were there. Synthesis wasn't.
Kai-Fu Lee's book AI Superpowers holds up very well today in key ways.
I initially thought it'd be a pop overview of AI.
But it's actually a history of the Chinese tech ecosystem. Many of his takes on speed of execution & innovation have now proven out.
amazon.com/AI-Superpowers…
I initially thought it'd be a pop overview of AI.
But it's actually a history of the Chinese tech ecosystem. Many of his takes on speed of execution & innovation have now proven out.
amazon.com/AI-Superpowers…
The future of the world may be a decentralized West and a centralized East.
Thesis: the virus breaks incompetent states
Any centralized government that isn't competent enough to fight off the virus gets decentralized.
Because each constituent region will defect & erect its own borders.
Back to enclaves & principalities? history.stackexchange.com/questions/1110…
Any centralized government that isn't competent enough to fight off the virus gets decentralized.
Because each constituent region will defect & erect its own borders.
Back to enclaves & principalities? history.stackexchange.com/questions/1110…
Lest we think this an exaggeration, here's an individual town in Italy.
They allow people to exit, but not to enter.
Until we have better tests, drugs, vaccines, we are starting to see green zones banning entrants from redder zones.
They allow people to exit, but not to enter.
Until we have better tests, drugs, vaccines, we are starting to see green zones banning entrants from redder zones.
