My friend @VMK100 sent me this insightful short note on mental fitness for traders by @normanhallett. I'm summarizing the points worth learning in this thread for the benefit of #trading community.
1. You've got a superb #tradingsystem...so why are you losing?
Visualizing your future the way you want
it, is much more likely to make that future a reality.
Visualize the picture of
'you' as a successful trader…you WILL head in the direction of that picture you’ve created in your head.
6. Are you the "new trader"?
A new trader is either someone who has just begun trading and is yet to make the mistakes of a beginner, OR someone who keep making the beginner’s mistakes over and over again and never learns.
New traders blame volatility or institutional traders. The difference is a successful trader is IN CONTROL. New trader is not.
7. Are you well capitalized?
If you’re under-capitalized, your conviction will waiver as fear creeps in.
You’ll hesitate when your system gives you the green light and you’ll take your profit too early.
Your light will dim and in the end, after blaming market conditions, your light will go out.
To win, your attention should be focused on the process of trading, not on each win and each loss.
8. Do you know the force is within You?
Its not about changing your system. Its about changing YOU.
9. Do you have a plan for hurdles that may come your way?
What if the power or internet is down? A phone call comes on something other than the trade you are concentrating on.
Trading is a business. Treat it like one.
Do everything in your control to STAY FOCUSED on the one task of following your system to the T.
10. Do you seek others opinions before entering your trades?
There's a danger of MAKING a trade fit. Its better to be out of a market (or stock) wishing you were in it then wishing you were out.
Only you know what works for
you, system-wise and emotion-wise.
Trust in your tested trading system. It will serve you if you stick to it.
11. Do you keep a trading journal?
A trader must ensure two thing. First, he doesnt get knocked out in the early rounds by the market. Second, learn from his mistakes.
Keep a journal and be honest with your self-assessment. It will help you to stay alive early and be aggresive later on.
12. Do you rely on trading gurus?
Trading gurus may help but only to a limited extent. Your eexperiences are they only ones that count. Make your own mistakes. Learn from it by keeping a journal. Programme your mind.
13. Do you believe in your trading system?
Choose a system or guru whom you can trust 100%. Do all the backtesting you can before deploying the system. Think hard before deploying it. But just follow it once deployed.
14. Are you looking for the holy grail of trading?
It doesn't exist. Even if it does its within you and not outside. Focus on your mind rather than anything else.
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Do you believe #markets are #cyclical in nature?
Do you think #history#rhymes, if not #repeats?
Do you agree #greed and #fear are two main forces in the market?
If answer of above Q's is yes then following tweets will solidify ur view if its a no then they will change ur view.
Above is a monthly chart of #Sensex. It goes through an alternating #greedandfear cycle of 8 years. Sensex moves up in greed phase and consolidates in fear phase. It was up 469% in greed phase of 1992. was up only 20% from 1992 to 2000. From 2000 to 2008 it was up 271%.
In fear phase of 2008 to 2016 it was up only 48%. #Sensex has entered greed phase in 2016 and will stay there till 2024. So far its up more than 50%. But the story doesnt end there. The sectors which move up during these phases also go through a cycle.
Have you ever felt that you have lived the present situation before? Its called #Déjàvu. Right now I'm experiencing this moment in the markets. #PSUBanks are going through tough times. But this isnt new. They were in a similar situation back in 2016. (1/n)
#PSUBanks were dealing with NPA's and losses in Mar 2016. Their troubles are amplified after the #COVIDー19 outbreak. But it seems worst is over. Here's a weekly chart of #NiftyPSUBank index. (2/n)
#PSUBanks are forming bullish divergence in #RelativeStrengthIndex(RSI) on weekly charts. #RSI is a momentum indicator. Bullish divergence in it indicates that ongoing downtrend is losing steam. It doesnt guarantee a reversal but increases the chances. (3/n)
#Market#breadth is weak despite 100 point gap up in #nifty...quite unusual considering the recent rally in broader markets👀 Lets see if it catches up during the day
But don't know whats the best approach to pick one?
#Ratio#charts can help you identify the best stock for #trading and #investment. You can plot a #ratiochart by dividing the price on one stock with another. Its preferable to divide the high priced stock with low priced one to get ratios greater than 1.
He adds another #RTM: 4 Week EMA / 12 Week EMA on the #charts to get a holistic view
So the two #RTM's work like a MACD except that an #MACD plots the absolute difference between 2 mvng avgs. But since we are dividing one avg with another in #RTM we can use it to compare one stock with another which we cant do in a MACD.
I have applied the concept of RTM on F&O stocks and come up with some insights. If the daily #RTM value is above the Weekly #RTM value then I define the trend as bullish. Then I calculate the difference between Daily and weekly #RTM's across F&O stocks.