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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Jul 4, 2021 • 25 tweets • 24 min read • Read on X
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2 recent #pictures on day 5 of the 2021 Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam #GERD filling.

1. Satellite image this morning.
2 Date unknown, posted on Twitter today.

Meanwhile it looks as if the #HOA rain is about to get heavier. Today's forecasts follow.
Today's big picture hasn't changed much.
TS #Elsa can still be seen bottom left, she will be crossing Cuba later today.
Bottom right we see storms over #Ethiopia and #Yemen.
In Europe the #EuropeBigWet continues with North Atlantic weather moving in from West.
This @NASA Modis satellite image series zooms in from...

1. The entire Nile
2. Ethiopia
3. #Abbay basin. Can you spot the #GERD?
4. Tigray.
@NASA Today's 10-Day Rainfall forecasts for North Africa from July 4th through July 15th.

[NOTE: The KMA model data feed to @weathermodels_
seems to be down today.]
48-hour rainfall forecasts (today and tomorrow from the same four models: the Euro @ECMWF, U.S. @NOAA's GFS, Canada's CMC and models.

In all forecasts short and long range we now see rainfall pushing deep into northern areas in the Sahel.
Here we see a six hour animation of a satellite view of today's cloud activity over Ethiopia. [Src. @zoom_earth]
@zoom_earth Zooming out we can see the Arabian Sea and the source of the Monsoon winds as well as storm activity building up in Yemen.
@zoom_earth Today's July 4th 10-day rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia and the #HornOfAfrica including #Somalia, #Somaliland, eastern parts of #SouthSudan, south eastern parts of Sudan, #Djbouti and #Eritrea. All model forecasts are now both strong and stable. [KMA not included.]
48 Hour forecasts (today and tomorrow) from the same two models. The big rainy season is now underway.

The final image shows rainfall today up to 9pm local time as estimated from satellite imagery [Src. @Meteoblue]
This animation show's today's #ArabianStorms and today we also have some eyewitness videos courtesy of @Arab_Storms.
A Jazan lightning strike #SaudiArabia
Water flowing off the mountains in #Oman
And an enthusiastic fellow celebrating the rain with his head in #SaudiArabia.
10-Day July 3rd, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC & ACG weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
48 Hour July 4th (today and tomorrow), accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast from the GFS, CMC, UK Met and ACG weather models.

#ArabianStorms

#KSA #Yemen #Oman #Jordan #Sudan #Iran #Syria #GERD #Sudan #DesertRain

الله أعلم
As always the final rainfall forecasts are long range July 4th forecasts. Today we have 16-day (GFS) and 360hour (EPS ensemble model) and 16-day (GEFS ensemble model) accumulated rainfall forecasts for the Middle East..
الله أعلم
...Threadfix...
& a rounded picture of the hemisphere. Zero hour simulation data from the GFS.

1. Precipitable water PWAT anomaly
2. PWAT (potential rain + energy)
3. MLSP (Mean Sea Level Pressure)
4. 250Hpa (jet stream winds approx 11kms high)
Finally in today's thread I will return to a matter raised yesterday. I.E. that a significant increase in monsoon activity over the Indian Ocean next week may lead to significant step up in rainfall over the #HOA this time next week.
In yesterday's thread I looked only at the GFS model looking forward at the Indian monsoon. The three images here are from the ECMWF model and they confirm the sequence. By July 14th the area of monsoon level atmosphere will have reached Ethiopia.
These animations which show July 11th to 14th show the arrival of the tropical level moisture in Ethiopia
Above we have the European @ECMWF model forecast. And here the CMC (Canadian) model.
And this model, the Australian ACG model also shows the same thing, which makes four major weather models all in agreement that a significant change will take place next weekend which could lead to a step-up in the intensity of rainfall.
We shall see what that impact looks like next week. But it stands to reason that in order for this flow profile for the Nile to be met, significantly more rain will need to fall.
Watch this space....

/ENDS

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
May 19
X also throttles a lot of accounts so @elonmusk if you actually believed in free speech rather than just consider it a nice slogan you’d not allow Netanyahu and palantir to use it as a national security weapon
Also as long as you continue in your current path of obsequious Zionism you will shed readers like a waterfall
So @elonmusk what’s the quota of your read tweets that everyone on X has to reach in order to be rid if you constantly jumping into our threads uninvited and continue allow Zionist Israeli intelligence to use you as a global threat identification system to your fellow fascistic brethren
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
May 19
On the Interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla
The Wiley Fox didn't wait for the twelve-mile limit.
He struck two hundred and fifty nautical miles out in the deep blue. Right inside the Cyprus Search and Rescue zone under the nose of Akrotiri. Twenty-seven hulls boarded in broad daylight by tactical teams. The satellite streams jammed and cut to black while the global public watched the pixels freeze.
The Western military apparatus did what it always does when the cardboard rules are tested. They sat behind their high-grade radar screens and logged the telemetry. They did nothing.
But the Sovereign Witness operation of the Global Samud Flotilla was already achieved.

Bianca and the delegation forced the confrontation in international waters before the blackout hit.

The Fox needed a high-seas spectacle for his Monday session in the Knesset to scare his opposition, but he merely delivered the raw evidence to the forensic ledger. The hulls are under tow to Ashdod, but the narrative has already leaped off the deck.
"What is to be learned is that it is not the better cause that wins the earthly victory, but the better-fought cause." [10]
Irwin kish
Read 22 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Feb 4
This forensic @cnn video presented by @kaitlancollins - detailing the events leading up to the 10 Shot attack on Minnesota Medic Alex Pretti is devastating and ought to be enough to seal the deal and END ICE now.

Collins copresses Trump over concerns from Epstein survivors youtube.com/shorts/IHXnZDw… via @YouTube

Her reporting on the Minnesota killing of Doctor
For the wider picture this from Nicole Wallace is also superb.

Finally CNNs Kaitlan Collins coverage of Epstein is also superb - especially her interview with one of the survivors advocates.

It appears that the insane and deeply evil manipulations emanating from the white house & Justice Department related to the now (but not really) released Epstein files are a complete cover up. Not only are survivors names unredacted effectively putting a target on their backs (my words not from the report….

… but the witness testimonies from survivors are in some cases maybe most of them - completely redacted.
Whilst driving today I listened to a lot of extraordinarily good reporting about mostly #ICE+MURDER & Intimidation the open congressional hearing is particularly good including astonishing accounts from other victims of ICE that are simply terrifying.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Dec 26, 2025
The U.S. constitution appears to be holding up at this point. But the drip drip of the Epstein files means President Donald Trump is looking increasingly impeachable and this will almost certainly trigger the begining of a premature end of @realDonaldTrump’s presidency. /1
Subpoenas of internal justice department officials will likely be the next step. And as there is bipartisan agreement on this there is no “get out of jail free” card on the table for those implicated in this horror show. /2
As the net closes in on the growing number of investigation suspects in this widening gyre it is becoming increasingly likely that the impact of this political events in the U.S.Capitol on politics across the entire U.S. will be seismic in scale.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 29, 2025
This @nytimes New York Times report is startling in its implications. Trump appears to have won the dominance contest OVER @IsraeliPM Netanyahu, who has been it seems diminished within Israel politically as a consequence of @realDonaldTrump’s interventions.

I, for one hope very much that he succeeds in his objectives.
Very importantly Trump is holding the line on extremist Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank. Should Trump hold course the possibility of a real long term 2 state solution - with Israeli and Palestinian cooperation may yet come into view.
nytimes.com/2025/10/27/wor…
Read 4 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 28, 2025
This from Max Blumenthal

:
Netanyahu’s Desperate PANIC & Massive Cover-Up Exposed via @YouTube
FWIW Max I think the next step is to look more closely at the Magdeburg and New Orléans terror attacks…. The Magdeburg one is especially suspicious abd the new Orléans one accompanied by Elon musk’s cyber car explosion are both linked to Elon.

He tweeted “only AFD can save germany” both before and after the Magdeburg attack
And the New Orleans attack modus operandi was almost identical to the attack in New Orleans
Read 4 tweets

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