Here we are ! Finally, after 18 months of big talks and long-term objectives about #EUGreenDeal, @EU_Commission releases its mammoth package #FitFor55#FF55.
Here is my key take-aways: the good, the bad, the ugly. #Thread 👇
Good 1: that’s a massive policy push to transform #EUGreenDeal promises into concrete actions to change our ways of life. @FransTimmermans recognises this will be “bloody hard”, but righly underlines that our future depends on it.
Good 2: Creation of the Social Climate Fund that we @DelorsInstitute have been calling for years. This Fund should start as of 2025 with EU budget, and could invest up to 70Bn€ from 2025 to 2032 to finance national plans to ensure social justice in the transition. #EnergyPoverty
Good 3: New oil-powered car sales will be banned in the EU as of 2035. Alternative fuel infrastructure directive becomes a regulation. That’s what the @IEA told us we must decide at EU and global level to promote #ElectricVehicles#EV to deliver climate neutrality by 2050.
Good 4: reform of existing carbon markets that should ↗️ the #ETS#CarbonPrice, provide💰to Member States & EU #InnovationFund so they can support innovation, incl. w/ Carbon Contracts for difference #CCfD. Creation of #CBAM to protect EU industry from risks of #CarbonLeakage
Good … BUT. #EnergyEfficiency and #RenewableEnergy targets for 2030 are increased (36% EE final energy, 39% EE primary energy, 40% Renewables). BUT. Those are only EU-level target without legally-binding national targets.
Bad 2: creation a new EU carbon market on buildings and road transport #ETS2 is a massive political risk. I already fear a big anti-EU and/or anti-climate backlash. #YellowVests#BonnetsRouges
Ugly 1: @EU_Commission has not proposed a serious price control mechanism for the new EU carbon market on buildings and road transport (#ETS2). MAJOR risk of seeing market price skyrocket & hurt the purchasing power of Europeans. That’s also a MAJOR difference with 🇩🇪experience.
Ugly2: lack of full earmarking of #ETS2 revenues for social compensation and green transition, risk of using part of ETS2 revenues to repay COVID recovery debt, which will be very unpopular.
Ugly3: lack of clear focus on low income and energy poor European families. EU & Member States should first and foremost use ETS2 revenues to life all Europeans from #EnergyPoverty.
1. We can already cut global emissions by 55% with already commercially available technologies (i.e. early adoption + mature). But we also need to further develop technologies to get to #NetZero
2. Technologies for #buildings renovation and ligh-duty #transport are already largely there
This morning @EUCouncil agree on historic 3y spending to kickstart the economy (750Bn€, w/ 390Bn grants & 360Bn loans) + 7y #EUbudget to invest in the long term (1.074Bn€). Before @Europarl_EN decides on this deal, let's see what’s in it: the good, the bad and the ugly. #Thread
Good n°1: Good news: there is a deal, and we are in July. I personally did not expect them to find an agreement before the fall, so having a deal in mid-July is already a positive piece of news in itself.
Good n°2: The overall architecture has not changed. Yes, less money will be invested than what was originally proposed (more👇), but we still get a reasonably sized budget (1.074bn€ over next 7y) + significant input of fresh money (390Bn€ in grants) that is good for #recovery