Dave Keating Profile picture
Mar 23 15 tweets 10 min read
Now awaiting 🇨🇦@JustinTrudeau at the European Parliament.

The Canadian prime minister will be participating in person in a session of the 🇪🇺 legislature at 17:30 to discuss 🇺🇦, after some vigorous handshaking here at the VIP corner. Image
🇨🇦#Trudeau is about to speak to the 🇪🇺European Parliament ahead of tomorrow’s emergency #NATO & #G7 summits here in Brussels to discuss 🇺🇦#UkraineCrisis.

He will also be having a bilateral session with 🇪🇺President Michel tomorrow on sidelines of #G7. Image
France's Europe Minister 🇫🇷@CBeaune says ahead of #Trudeau's speech to the 🇪🇺European Parliament that the fact the 🇨🇦Canadian PM is here shows the strong transatlantic unity right now on the subject of the #UkraineWar. Image
“It is a privilege to be here in #Brussels with you all,” 🇨🇦PM #Trudeau tells the European Parliament.

He notes he was the first #Canadian PM to ever address the 🇪🇺Parliament, in 2017.

He begins his speech in French. Image
"The European Union has mobilised to defend democracy," @JustinTrudeau tells the 🇪🇺Parliament. "And as always, you can count on 🇨🇦#Canada every step of the way."

"The resolve of our united response to this unacceptable invasion has been stronger than anything #Putin expected." Image
#Trudeau says when he 1st spoke to 🇪🇺MEPs in 2017 "this parliament saw me as someone new on the world stage. We got to work tackling progressive issues, building things we thought mattered. We could see something threatening was on the horizon"

Reference to both #Putin & #Trump?
"I spoke about making multilateralism work for middle class" says #Trudeau. "So that economic frustrations don't become fertile ground for populism, nativism, protectionism & polarisation."

"Today, we're staring these forces in the face as they threaten our world"
"Since 2017 the world has changed a lot. A global pandemic has taken lives of over 6 million people & disrupted lives of everyone else. A global recession...a world living dangers of climate change, a growing distrust of governments & facts, weakening of democratic institutions"
"We saw one of our staunchest guarantors of rules-based order [🇺🇸] choosing for 4 years to step away from #NATO, away from multilateralism," 🇨🇦#Trudeau tells 🇪🇺parliament.

"And now #Putin's criminal invasion of a sovereign independent democratic #Ukraine."
"These are anxious times, and people are looking for leadership & solutions" says #Trudeau

"We're seeing a rise in cynical populists who are trying to exploit these anxieties. They pretend to have easy solutions that play on peoples fears. Even in Canada [#ConvoyForFreedom2022]"
"In 🇨🇦we saw anti-vaccine anti-government protests devolve" says #Trudeau. "The leaders of those convoys were effective in turning citizens with real anxieties against the system best suited to allay those concerns"

"But democracy isn't a game, and there aren't easy solutions"
"But that doesn't mean the way forward isn't clear" 🇨🇦#Trudeau tells 🇪🇺MEPs. "There's no greater clarity...than the unwavering unity of like-minded partners"

"Over past 80 years together we have established and bolstered a series of rules and institutions to increase stability"
"Today these rules & institutions are being threatened" says #Trudeau

"Vladimir #Putin has violated the most fundamental principles of international law, and he's now killing innocent civilians by bombing hospitals & residences"

"🇨🇦,🇪🇺 & our allies are facing a defining moment"
"We cannot fail. We must meet this moment" 🇨🇦Trudeau tells 🇪🇺MEPs.

"I speak to you today no longer as someone quite so new. In fact I may now be one of longest serving progressive leaders around. I won't pretend to have all the answers. But what I do know is there is work ahead"
🇨🇦Canadian Prime Minister @JustinTrudeau came to the 🇪🇺European Parliament in Brussels today to talk about the 🇺🇦#UkraineWar and his vision for the way ahead.

"The EU has mobilised to defend democracy" he told MEPs. "And as always, you can count on Canada every step of the way."

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More from @DaveKeating

Mar 25
Presidents @JoeBiden & @vonderleyen have just announced a deal that will see 🇺🇸 deliver an additional 15 billion cubic metres of liquified natural gas (#LNG) this year to 🇪🇺.

It's designed to give #EUCO leaders the confidence today to ban Russian energy imports. Image
But #Biden acknowledges the problem: Europe has few #LNG port facilities to receive the liquified gas, and they're already operating at capacity. He says US will help build new LNG infrastructure.

Longer term, 🇺🇸 will deliver at least 50bn cm per year to 🇪🇺 from now to 2030. Image
The amount of extra 🇺🇸#LNG deliveries by ship this year promised by #Biden amounts to 10% of the 155 bcm of gas 🇪🇺 imports from Russia each year via pipeline.

EU will "build more infrastructure to receive LNG and to take steps to increase the efficiency of gas" Biden says.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 25
#EUCO will today see Latin-Germanic clash on energy prices. It's very technical but here's an explainer I wrote for @EnergyMonitorAI.

Electricity prices are tied to gas, and they're going through the roof. 🇪🇸Sanchez wants to change that. 🇩🇪🇳🇱 say no.
energymonitor.ai/sectors/power/…
The disagreement on energy prices could blow up #EUCO today. 🇪🇸Sanchez is threatening to veto #EUCO conclusions if there's no price changes.

Team Sanchez (🇮🇹🇵🇹🇬🇷🇧🇪) say urgent relief is needed.

🇩🇪🇳🇱 say intervention is not a silver bullet & caps risk suppliers ending contracts Image
🇩🇪🇳🇱 also point out market intervention setting energy prices is a double-edged sword.

You could set a price that's lower than market rate now, only to see the market rate fall in a few months and end up with Europeans paying more than the market rate. Long-term consequences. Image
Read 20 tweets
Mar 25
Conclusions on #Ukraine after Day 1, the 27 #EUCO PMs & presidents.

"The European Council calls on all countries to align with those sanctions. Any attempts to circumvent sanctions or to aid Russia by other means must be stopped"
consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press… Image
The big question is whether EU leaders will today ban imports of Russian oil & coal. This morning presidents Biden & VDL will announce LNG deal designed to make that easier.

“Everybody wants it but it’s nothing that you can do in the short term" said 🇳🇱Dutch PM Rutte last night.
“Measures on energy right now would have a huge impact on our economies" said 🇧🇪Belgian PM. “The basic rule is that sanctions must have a much greater impact on the Russian side than on the European side. We don't wage war on ourselves"

Could phasing in the ban allay concerns?
Read 4 tweets
Mar 24
🇺🇸US President Joe Biden speaking at #NATO HQ now.

He says it’s understandable that NATO allies are concerned. “The US has committed to provide $2 billion to Ukraine since I became president…our weapons are flowing into 🇺🇦 as we speak” Image
#Biden says it was clear in his call with #Putin a month ago that the Russian leader didn’t expect the West to stay so United.

He praises America’s #NATO and #EU partners for their robust response. Image
On #China, #Biden says he believes Xi understands his country’s future will be better cooperating with the West than in being tied to Russia.

Very similar line to what Macron, Scholz & Draghi said earlier.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 24
Now that Macron has finished, @BorisJohnson takes to the podium (🇫🇷🇬🇧 flags quickly swapped)

“I’ve rarely seen nations more United in recent years than we are now,” the prime minister says. Image
"We continue to see huge numbers of Ukrainians fleeing their homes," says Johnson after #NATO & #G7 summits.

But he makes no announcement of taking in more refugees as #Biden has just done.
Johnson asked if UK can grant #Zelensky's request today for tanks and jets.

"We’re looking at what we can do to help but logistically at the moment it looks very difficult both with armour and with jets. The equipment we think is more immediately valuable is missiles".
Read 5 tweets
Mar 24
#Macron following #G7:

#NATO has made a choice to support #Ukraine in this war without going to war with #Russia

France and other NATO allies will continue arming Ukraine. “We want this to be efficient but we do not want to be cobelligérant” Image
#Macron shows a chart showing France’s contribution to securing #NATO’s eastern frontier.

He says this will be coordinated by EU, as part of NATO efforts, not in competition with it. Image
🇫🇷Macron says he (and 🇩🇪🇮🇹) pressed #G7 partners 🇺🇸🇬🇧🇯🇵🇨🇦 to "show solidarity in the management of #UkraineRefugees".

"For reasons of geography Europe of course is the first destination." 3.5 million have come to EU. Other 4 in G7 not taking refugees without hard-to-get visas.
Read 8 tweets

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