Germany’s response to #Russia’s assault on #Ukraine is an abject disappointment.
Why be so hard on #Germany?
Because:
- Ukraine needs & deserves much better
- We all need a Germany that does much better
(including Germans). A 🧵
#Germany has not unequivocally endorsed #Ukraine's #EU candidacy bid;
- was slow to provide weapons of any kind;
- is dragging its feet over providing #heavyweapons;
- delayed the #EU ban on🇷🇺coal, &
- STILL buys the most🇷🇺gas, giving billions of Euros to #Putin.
This is particularly hard to bear as #Germany COULD do so much more.
A fully engaged Germany COULD make such a difference - as when it boldly accepted millions of refugees - in the 1990s and in 2015.
It believed in its best sides & promised "#wirschaffendas" "we can manage it"
Or when it threw its weight behind issuing and underwriting collective EU debt to get Europe's #COVID recovery plan going.
#Germany is the world's 4th biggest economy, Europe's economic powerhouse and a massive arms producer and exporter - including very powerful and effective #heavyweapons dw.com/en/german-arms…
#Germany is rich & has real capability to help #Ukraine far more than it is doing now.
Some of its politicians even mislead Germans about what their allies are doing -claiming other #NATO states aren't giving heavy weapons to 🇺🇦 when in fact they are. politico.eu/article/berlin…
#Germany's government is not only failing #Ukraine which fights for all our security & for our values against #Putin's authoritarian regime but its also destroying 🇩🇪's own credibility.
This is a real shame as, since WW2, Germans have worked so hard to rebuild their reputation
From being sinners in the eyes of the world,🇩🇪strove to face its past crimes & learn lessons from them. In the process, #Germany became a genuine moral power - & able to exert real influence in the world because of it, as well as becoming widely admired. theguardian.com/world/2020/jul…
There were missteps of course, not least in dealing with 🇬🇷🇵🇹🇮🇪🇮🇹🇪🇸 in Europe's financial crisis - and in building up the corrupt relations with #Russia (& dependency on its #oil & #gas) that are now so problematic. BUT
#Germany did underpin the deepening & widening of the #EU and, for many people came to symbolise a decent European democracy that faced its problematic past while developing an economically dynamic, tolerant and thriving liberal multicultural society.
To build all that, from the ruins of its defeat in WW2 was immensely impressive - but #Germany also benefited from a lot of help from its friends and allies ... the kind of help it needs to repay now
By the time of the fall of the #Berlin Wall - and in the way it handled that #Germany came to symbolise the hope of a better world that could be built from the trauma of the past.
Now, with every excuse made to not help #Ukraine (we can't; we don't have anything; we're scared of escalation; we don't want to be a target; we wan't peace; the Ukrainian ambassador is rude) #Germany's credibility as an international actor & as a #NATO ally is crumbling.
This does an incredible disservice to brave Ukrainians who wait & die while #Germany debates.
- It weakens the fight for democracy & against authoritarianism.
-It also betrays the work of those Germans who worked so hard to restore their country's reputation & influence.
#Germany's reputation and, consequently its effectiveness in international affairs - are in free fall.
We need a more credible, moral & committed 🇩🇪 for Europe's security & future.
Ukraine needs much more 🇩🇪 support right now.
We would all benefit from this - including🇩🇪/ end
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A 🧵 on why it's better for #Germany to get proactive instead of getting offended over #Ukraine.
Steinmeier being unwelcome in #Kyiv is bad.
I'm not criticising #Zelenskiy's decision (which is justified) but that it came to this is everyone's detriment.
As such, it's an important moment to reflect & consider, why it happened & what to do better.
#Steinmeier was not welcomed because of his past closeness to Putin's #Russia. He has publicly regretted this but its clear that for Kyiv apology ≠ atonement. Let's be honest the ill-judged harmony concert & FWS' spox criticism of @MelnykAndrij didn't help, BUT
Some of observations on Heavy #Weapons transfers to #Ukraine
11/🧵:
1. Transferring any and all heavy weapons is good. Especially of types that 🇺🇦 has asked for.
Therefore it’s good that Hweapons are increasingly delivered by many countries
(eg 🇨🇿🇸🇰🇬🇧) & discussed in 🇩🇪.
BUT
2. The endless debates on how long it takes to train crews to use eg Tanks & IFVs are starting to sound like excuses not reasons. Clearly it’s not poss to just climb in & drive off, but 🇩🇪seems to over complicate this, to say the least.
3. Rather than continuing to talk down to #Ukraine, #Germany’s politicians should consider that the 🇩🇪way is not the only way, & may not even be the best way.
Relative recent performance of 🇺🇦&🇩🇪 militaries needs to be considered- as does accelerated learning in wartime.
This is a really interesting point. I remember, at an academic conference in 2017, being told that if Central & East Europeans really wanted to integrate into the EU, they should take on Western Europe’s colonial guilt as well.
There is a big need for the EU to reckon with its colonial past - & present! - & to stop going down a civilisational, essentialised identity track, to which CEE conservatives have also contributed. BUT, that’s not the only relevant line about the EU or CEE. RU is way worse here.
Treatment of refugees in this instance- which is great- shows what BS it was last time. Willingness was lacking, not capacity. That must change more widely- if we are serious about winning systemic competition, we have to values we espouse- universal not ‘european’.
Why Europe's #StrategicCompass Points to Trouble Ahead 🧵 1. The EU's #Gymnich meeting last week confirmed the direction of the Union's draft security strategy, the 'Strategic Compass
This is bad news - for the #EU, the #US, #NATO & liberal ordering. ip-quarterly.com/en/why-europes…
2. Many experts have worried that the compass will just be another false dawn in European security and defence - more big promises without the possibility of delivering the capabilities needed to make good on them. In short - the EU's ego is writing cheques its body can't cash.
3. That ongoing capability gap will cause problems BUT its not the biggest risk the new strategy poses. The #StrategicCompass presents the darkest worldview ever avowed by the #EU- a far cry from its previous- & successful -progressive, optimistic approach ip-quarterly.com/en/why-europes…
Excellent news from #Czechia@JanLipavsky’s confirmation is a very positive step. BUT … a short 🧵on #czech politics. 1. Beware expectations raised a little high here. portraying @P_Fiala as #Havel’s heir is v. problematic - he has a strange rel to #EU
2. @JanLipavsky is from a different party than @P_Fiala - the pirates, who along with STAN have a much stronger claim to be the standard bearers of Havelism in #Czechia today.
Fiala’s support 4 Lipavsky is great but this is as much domestic power politics (v Zeman) as principle
3. The two are, nonetheless, connected as Zeman as been not only a disastrous President morally (migration, Allegations of corruption & influence from kremlin,etc) but an enabler for both 🇷🇺 & 🇨🇳 in 🇨🇿.
We can expect to see that diminish without Babis facilitating Zeman.
3/ as well as
- clamping down on #belarus KGB activity in #EU states (kick ‘em out)
- providing more meaningful support (financial, technical, practical, organisational) to opposition incl. @Tsihanouskaya
- EU should temporarily suspend #EasternPartnership- less for (much) less