#Mariupol Update and ISW Map - small pockets of resistance remain in the urban parts of the city, but are primarily small groups of 1-4 defenders that were able to remain hidden. At the #Azovstal Plant, the #Russian forces have made entry and are actively clearing the grounds.
#Chechen fighters have been filming in warehouses of captured equipment and engaging in sporadic fighting with #Azov and #UAF still inside the main buildings. #Chechen TikTok videos have limited combat footage in them, which likely means little fighting is still taking place.
This morning 120 Ukrainian civilians left the plant via a humanitarian corridor, but were being guided by 🇷🇺 to an unk location. The #Ukrainian defenders in #Azovstal likely have near zero manpower or ammo, but did use an ATGM to destroy a #Russian armored vehicle this morning.
One question that has been asked repeatedly is whether or not their is a chance for a breakout or air resupply/reinforcement of #Azovstal. Our assessment is that #Ukraine doesn’t have the capability to effectively conduct any sort of logistics movement into #Mariupol.
#Russians have air defense coverage of the sky for 100 miles around #Mariupol and any sort of rescue mission would almost certainly be intercepted and destroyed. The #Mariupol defenders have made it clear that they plan to fight until the last man.
New footage from around #Mariupol#Azovstal Plant shows DNR fighters and #Russian Spetsnaz clearing the exterior of the main plant buildings. Most of the complex has now been captured by #Russian forces. Some low intensity fighting continues.
Here is a new map of #Mariupol that gives some scale of the level of destruction in the city. Many of the white areas are parks, forests or fields as you can see in the 2nd picture. Recall that the Mayor of #Mariupol said the city had been “wiped off the face of the earth”.
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#Izyum Axis and ISW Map - #Russian forces made small gains around #Severodonetsk by fully capturing Stara Krasnyanka and consolidating gains around #Kreminna. #Russia also appears to be making headway in #Rubizhne with #Ukraine troops pushed out of the city center. 🧵
To the south of #Izyum, the #Russians have pushed into the village of Dibrovne (circled in white) and the area is now contested. 🇷🇺 assaults on several smaller villages in the area were repelled by #Ukrainian forces.
To the south of #Izyum#Russian forces were stopped before reaching the city limits of Dovhen’ke. #Ukraianian troops inflicted heavy losses on the attacking 🇷🇺, who retreated after suffering too many casualties.
#Izyum Axis Update - #Russian forces are rapidly pushing #Ukrainian troops out of the town of #Rubizhne. The #Chechen and Russia flag have been raised on the edge of the town and #Ukraine is falling back. The sign in this video is the Rubizhne sign coming into the town.
Latest map of #Izyum Axis. #Ukraine needs to hold the town of #Rubizhne to prevent #Russia from starting encirclement of #Severodonetsk by cutting off primary logistics routes to the south. #Russia likely wants to isolate the city and UAF inside similar to #Mariupol.
The capture of #Severodonetsk would represent a much needed victory for #Russia. However, #Ukrainian Armed Forces have been determined to not sacrifice large population centers without a fight.#Rubizhne is the first step in the battle for #Severodonetsk.
Today the international community offered the following military assistance to #Ukraine to support it through the #UkraineRussiaWar: The #Czech MoD will repair armored vehicles and return them to combat. #Romania has offered up a substantial amount of Soviet era weaponry.
#Canada has promised to provide heavy artillery as well as 150 military trainers. #USA has offered heavy artillery as well as 40,000 rounds of 155mm arty ammo, fighter aircraft parts, which had previously been a sticking point amongst #NATO, and training on the new Arty system.
Mig-29’s will be transferred from an unknown #NATO ally and more parts will be provided by yet other unnamed allies. #Germany stated that it has nothing left to offer #Ukraine at the moment but will speak to its defense industry in consideration of possible future commitments.
#RussianUkrainianWar Update - #Russia has launched a new offensive across the entirety of the eastern front. #Ukraine️ troops have had limited success at slowing the attacks but 🇷🇺 is gaining ground across most of this map right now. Area to watch short term is circled in blue.
This blue circle represents nearly 40% of the #UkraineArmy combat power and its currently at risk of being cut off from the rest of the country. The #Russians will attempt to connect the #Izyum axis with an attack from somewhere in the south likely around #Horlivka.
If the #Russians can encircle those troops they will try to bleed them dry of ammo and manpower just like in #Mariupol. The #Russians have re-opened a southern axis in an attempt to start that encirclement and have taken the town of Malynivk and are close to taking others.
Here is a #Russian owned RIA article from yesterday stating that #Mariupol citizens were being evacuated by 🇷🇺 to Bezymennoye, which is nearly 2,000km away. This is in spite of severely reduced fighting in the city.
Commander of the #Azov Regiment, Denis Prokopenko, has released a video showing hundreds of civilians trapped alongside #Ukrainian defenders underneath the #Azovstal Metallurgical Plant in #Mariupol. The cities defenders are making a last stand against relentless #Russia attacks.
Here is the statement by Denis Prokopenko and a rough translation below. In summary he asks for a humanitarian corridor to evacuate the women and children civilians, wounded soldiers and dead, so that they can be buried with dignity.
I am commander of Azov regiment, Denis Prokopenko. I call to the leaders of the world. Right now, in Mariupol, at "Azovstal" steel factory hundreds of civilians are sheltering. Among them - people of all ages, women, children, families of Mariupol defenders.