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Apr 29 29 tweets 20 min read
Thread: 29 April 2022: Day 65 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
"V" and "Z" monuments gone up in Maloyaroslavets, in European #Russia
Footage of a #Ukraine drone strike on #Russia's forces in Luhansk
#Syrian doctors, having seen their own country devastated by #Russia, have been streaming to #Ukraine to help those under attack by the Russians thenationalnews.com/world/us-news/…
#Ukraine's favourability views of foreign leaders:
- #Poland's Duda: 87%,
- #Britain's Boris Johnson: 86%
- #US President Biden and #Turkey's Erdoğan: 76%
- #Lithuania's Nausėda and #France's Macron: 75%
- #EU's Von der Leyen: 66%
- #Germany's Scholz: 30%
ratinggroup.ua/en/research/uk…
#China's state television has a map of #Russia after its collapse and who the territories will be apportioned to
Sounds like #Russia is planning a Roman Triumph through #Mariupol
Another 900 #Ukrainians killed by #Russian forces have been found in a mass grave near Kiev, says President Zelensky in an interview with Polish media. Zelensky says some corpses were destroyed in mobile crematoria and 500,000 have been deported to Russia pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/…
Every reason for scepticism about the numbers #Ukraine gives for #Russia's casualties, of course, but just as a sheer matter of fact the numbers Kiev have given so far have, when independent evidence becomes available, tended to look about right
#pt: e.g., about a week ago, a leaked document from the #Russian government said the Russian army had suffered 20,000 casualties (confirmed killed and "missing"), so if #Ukraine says that total is now at 23,000, it is not wildly implausible
Quite something to read back this by Andrey Sushentsov, the president of the Valdai Club (Putin's Davos), from Feb. 26, two days after #Russia's invasion began. Starts baldly with, "Ukraine will receive a new government and will be demilitarised, for sure" valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/r…
"Ukraine will become the third member of the union between Russia and Belarus ... The business-like, routine character of the largest military crisis in Europe since [Kosovo] shows that international relations are returning to their historical norm" ...
Very interesting on the way #Germany's political elite operates, and why these methods have begun to fail as the reality of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - and the international attention on Berlin - hits. newstatesman.com/world/europe/2…
Report: At least two members of the "Unite pour la Paix en Centrafrique" (UPC) rebel movement in the #Central_African_Republic were killed on 25 April by #Russia's Wagner Group in Liota. humanglemedia.com/russian-mercen…
The Kadyrov section of the latest letter sent by an FSB officer to Vladimir Osechkin rings true: the Chechens are mostly doing media work in #Ukraine, so will survive the Donbas mess largely intact, and the Kadyrovtsy have had to deal with trouble at home.
"They have one propaganda [story], we have another. I believe in what they say here", says one #Russian man. "Everyone understands [the atrocities and the hatred of #Ukrainians] on some level, but they don't know it. And they refuse to find out". meduza.io/feature/2022/0…
A lot in this about how #Russians are thinking and talking about the war. One theme that really comes through is a sense that #Ukraine has "betrayed" Russia and become a hostile menace; any negative interaction with a Ukrainian is taken as systematic.
#pt: "'I am a Christian, so I fully support the [special] operation,' a [#Russian] woman who was married to a #Ukrainian told us. 'The Antichrist must come, as you know. The Antichrist will come in Germany, in Europe, every Christian knows this'."
#pt: "I unfollowed you on Facebook … Of course, I am not for the war … But … I completely disagree with your point of view. … I don't want to be persuaded. I am for an authoritarian state, with a Tsar (царь). I do not welcome freedom of speech … and everything you support."
#pt: A Russian in the Urals says: "Stalin kept all these fascists, enemies of the people, in camps. And Khrushchev released all the Banderites and Chechens, Gorbachev ruined the state, Yeltsin armed Ukraine and gave away Crimea. So Putin has to sort it all out."
Using 1,700 confirmed cases, @mediazzzona looked at the profile of the #Russians who have died in #Putin's war on #Ukraine. Overwhelmingly they come from poorer areas, notably Dagestan and Buryatia, and virtually nobody from Moscow and Petersburg. zona.media/article/2022/0…
The dead also tend to be younger (19 and 20 in many cases) and very likely conscripts, despite the Putin government's messaging on this issue.
Latest @levada_ru polling:
- 59% of #Russians are following the war, 26% very closely
- 74% support the war [down from 81% in March], 19% oppose
- 68% think it's going well
- 73% believe Russia will prevail
- 7% blame Russia for the deaths, 57% blame NATO
levada.ru/2022/04/28/kon…
A horrible echo of Bolshevik tactics in the Civil War, when "Whites" or civilians suspected of anti-Communist beliefs, and certainly priests, would be tied to a post or fence, doused in water, and left overnight to freeze to death.
Nikolai Patrushev, secretary of #Russia's Security Council, the most hawkish and nationalist of the siloviki around #Putin, gave a rare public interview laying out where his faction want this to go: escalation in #Ukraine, forever war with the #US/West. themoscowtimes.com/2022/04/29/rus…
Perhaps not the absolute apex of border defence from #Russia
"The #US has started to train #Ukrainian troops on howitzer artillery systems and radars at US military installations in Germany, the Pentagon's top spokesperson said [on 29 April]. ... The Florida National Guard will provide 'the bulk of the training'." thehill.com/policy/defense…

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More from @KyleWOrton

Apr 30
Thread: 30 April 2022: Day 66 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia is in a very unhappy place. Little else that can be said.
#pt: If one was waging a war of aggression under the banner of "denazifying" a neighbouring state, eschewing fascist aesthetic might be considered a propaganda necessity.
Read 16 tweets
Apr 29
A church-commissioned German investigation said Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI's claims to have no personal knowledge of the child rape cases when he was running the archdiocese of Munich (1977-82) were not credible. He could be accused of wrongdoing in four. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/01/…
In one of the cases, Bendict, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger as he then was, "accepted a priest into his archdiocese even after the cleric had been convicted of sexual abuse in a criminal court."
The priest had been imprisoned in the 1960s on charges related to a "large number" of sexual indecency cases with underage boys, but in the late 1970s, after he was released, he petitioned Ratzinger to be returned to clerical work, and was made a pastor
Read 5 tweets
Apr 28
Thread: 28 April 2022: Day 64 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Britain is getting the messaging right on this: an acknowledgement of the reality that there is a task in front of us, but a refusal to even hint at recognising #Russia's annexation of Crimea or any other part of #Ukraine
#Russia managing to forge a nation in #Ukraine, revitalise a West that had seemed in terminal decline, and eliminate its own levers soft/economic influence in a war meant to do exactly the opposite is quite something to watch
Read 65 tweets
Apr 27
Thread: 27 April 2022: Day 63 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Another case where the levers of influence over #Turkey that supposedly explain why #Russia has such influence over Ankara highlight the questions of why the #US cannot use these same levers and why the Turks do not worry about them
#Ukraine's ability to strike inside #Russia, in towns like Belgorod, is now becoming routine
Read 42 tweets
Apr 18
Thread: 18 April 2022: Day 54 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
"'I screamed at the [#Russian] guards: "He is dying, he is dying." I tried with my bound feet to push a bottle of water towards him,' says Dima, visibly distressed. 'All they did was laugh and say: "If he dies, he dies. All Ukrainians must die".'" independent.co.uk/news/world/eur…
#pt: "For 10 days, survivors of this room – all civilians – say they were starved, tortured, subjected to multiple mock executions [by #Russian soldiers], threatened with rape and forced to sit in their own excrement by soldiers under Trostyanets station [in Sumy]."
Read 39 tweets
Apr 17
Thread: 17 April 2022: Day 53 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia: Sergei Erzhenkov, a journalist, attended a 4 March anti-war rally in Kasimov, where inter alia he filmed activists spray-painting "Putin — go away" on a Lenin statue. The FSB arrested him the next day and he says tortured him. themoscowtimes.com/2022/04/14/rus…
Read 33 tweets

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