Tuesday's thread on #Russia's war of choice starts here.
It's Day 132 of the illegal conflict.
A late start to the thread today, primarily because it's been one of the quietest days so far since the bombs started falling
Read on for all the news of #Ukraine's fight for survival
1/ I've spent the last 30 minutes going through replies, DMs and questions etc. The most common comment is along the lines of "Is the game up for #Ukraine?"
Certainly things are not going well for Ukraine right now for reasons I'll come to shortly
The main thing to remember is:
2/ Any sort of "peace deal" even a ceasefire, plays right into the Kremlin's hands.
Following the 2014 invasion, the #Minsk accords were foisted on #Ukraine by two western partners🇫🇷+🇩🇪. #Russia refused to allow 🇬🇧+🇺🇸 to the table.
Putin used the last years to massively..
3/ ..increase defence spending.
Any sort of weakness from the West now will repeat the mistakes of the 1930s and 2014-2021.
Dictators don't voluntarily stop. #Russia may pause, paying lip service to an agreement, purely to rearm and go again.
At the start of the war in February, big intelligence failures led Putin to believe #Russia would force #Ukraine to wilt within 3-4 days and be completely taken over within 10 days.
The attack on many fronts was never likely to work. But since concentrating their forces...
5/
..on specific targets, such as the more easily supplied eastern parts of #Ukraine (#Donbas, east #Kharkiv etc) it's been much more successful for #Russia.
This was predictable, but the west was negligent. Despite strong words and promises, useful weapons were not forthcoming
6/ Maybe stupid assumptions from some leaders such as "🇺🇦 won the battle for #Kyiv, they will be ok & win in the end" played a part or maybe still scared of #Putin
Also IMO Zelenskyy was culpable for not asking for a No Fly Zone 20-23 February when #Russia promised not to invade
7/
Eventually the west has reacted and big weapons are coming. The way to win any conflict is surely to be proactive. Baltic States, Poland and UK were the prescient hawks, the others the head in the sand doves, with USA somewhere in between.
Had jets, helicopters, howitzers..
8/ ..been given to #Ukraine as soon as possible, I guarantee #Luhansk would not have been lost. The war would look totally different.
It's not quite too late. HIMARS, Caesars are starting to have an effect (eg #SnakeIsland).
To save ourselves in the west we must be strong..
9/
Fight #Russia's nationalistic evil committing war crimes
100% support for the brave people and army of #Ukraine
Keep Ukraine on the agenda, in the media
No negotiations until Putin is driven back, preferably to 2013 borders
Long-term ideal free media + education in Russia
Sorry for the rant! Hope you agree!
#Ukraine's border guard is playing its part. In #Kharkiv region, where #Russia is desperately trying to make ground, Ukraine drones monitor for movement in the forest and then take action.
This bomb killed 4 Russian soldiers and destroyed their equipment #StopRussia
Shelling from #Russia's troops continues across the front line. The north-east regions of #Sumy and #Chernihiv are coming under heavier fire the past few weeks.
Helicopter also launched unguided missile attacks in #Esman and #Bilopillia leaving this behind:
#Ukraine, with longer range and high precision howitzers, has had much greater success in targeting #Russia's ammunition and fuel dumps - previously very difficult in highly populated areas.
Reports suggest the central Kievsky area is receiving the brunt of the attack but also fires in the north of the city and Kuibyshev district. Two people have died.
The Kamaz centre is still under attack in occupied #Donetsk. This was filmed just minutes ago.
Meanwhile the puppet government is reporting 66 miners may be trapped underground because of the shelling. One might say somewhat strange they still send miners down in a war zone.
Kamaz ostensibly make trucks, armoured vehicles etc., but by the sounds of explosions on this video it would seem the Kamaz centre was also making or storing explosives/ammunition. If so, pretty stupid!
#Putin sold this war to his people on 1) "Nazism" of #Ukraine, which is easily disprovable nonsense, but chimes well with the public, evoking memories of WWII
and 2) NATO being at #Russia's borders.
How's that going Vova?
#Donetsk again.
Ladies and Gentlemen, we have footage now of the exact moment the KAMAZ centre in the city was hit.
Multiple rockets and some big booms!
Identified only as "Adrien D" he was seriously injured a month ago in #Kharkiv region in an attack which also killed the other fighter from #France, Wilfried Blériot
Damage to a building on Artyoma Street in north-west #Donetsk.
This is only 300m from the Donetsk Railway Transport Institute. I honestly don't know what the target here was.
The occupiers of #Mariupol had great delight in showing on #Russia's propaganda channels a concert in the city.
I wouldn't have bothered - even for a free gig in the centre they can scarcely assemble a crowd.
Not surprising, Russia left many without power, water or even a home.
More shells landing across #Donetsk in what's presumably a new wave of incoming missiles from #Ukraine. Five shells reported in Yasynuvata, north of Donetsk.
#Ukraine's ousted Mayor of #Melitopol confirms an attack on the airfield in the city.
Not exactly clear but fairly sure this refers to an attack 2 days ago. Iven Fedorov says 200 Russians were killed, 300 injured.
He also confirms that UA guerillas destroyed a bridge in Tokmak
The #Ukraine city almost right on the front line now reports deaths from the shelling.
It's 8 years to the day since #Ukraine's army raised the flag over #Sloviansk (RU: #Slavyansk) after liberating it from #Russian occupation in the war which the invaders started in 2014.
#Putin never forgets anniversaries. This is the market in central Sloviansk now
#Ukraine Presidential adviser @Podolyak_M has claimed in a TV show that almost 50,000 invaders have been killed.
Podolyak says as well as 36,000 #Russia army soldiers, up to 12,000 more from Private Military Companies have also died.
Well @BorisJohnson may not be everyone's favourite in the UK right now, but safe to say he's Number One in #Ukraine.
And quite literally - he could be "top of the pops" soon. This new tribute to the British PM, "Dobriy Den' Everybody" has just been made.
(Twitter 2'15" edit)
I was about to tell you that two more areas of #Donetsk have been shelled this evening.
Then I saw this video which shows you perfectly!
Fair to say #Ukraine's been on the offensive today; seemingly good intel on targets to hit in occupied areas with new high-precision weapons
We've all heard the expression "life goes on"...
Well how about this. The market may be on fire in the centre of #Donetsk. But not this stall yet, fruit to sell, so carry on trading
364 shells reported fired on #Donetsk today and I doubt it's finished yet.
As light begins to fade, the flames will light up the night sky.
After the torrent of abuse and indignation at the threat to ban #Ukraine's men from moving around the country without a permit, President Zelenskyy distances himself
"I promise the people to deal with this and I ask the General Staff not to make such decisions without me again"
Just what the world needs... tons of grain going up in smoke in #Romania today
However, #Ukraine's Defence staff says they beat off a Russian offensive yesterday.
"the enemy shelled civilian infrastructure in #Siversk + #Hryhorivka. (we) inflicted significant losses on the enemy during his attempted offensive. The occupiers left." facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua
1/ Another small thread on #Uzbekistan, which has disappeared from headlines around the world as quickly as it briefly appeared.
It would seem the Government's tactics are working in stifling opposition and the truth from getting out of #Karakalpakstan.
2/
You will remember dozens reported dead when a peaceful protest in #Nukus, the capital of autonomous #Karakalpakstan was violently broken up by #Uzbekistan riot police. They claim people rioted, 15 was the official death toll but most opposition activists claim much higher
3/
There's scepticism about a swift U-turn from #Uzbekistan's authoritarian President, scrapping plans to take away #Karakalpakstan's autonomy & hopes to become independent.
Internet access was cut; some new videos are just emerging. This from Saturday shows peaceful protesters
1/ Thread on #Uzbekistan
Very difficult to obtain information following the State of Emergency in #Karakalpakstan.
A reminder that the President has done a U-turn and won't now try to deprive the region of its autonomy.
GRAPHIC VIDEO
Last night many died, over 1,000 injured
2/ #Karakalpakstan capital #Nukus saw many deaths after riot police tried to break up a huge rally in the centre
In tactics identical to those seen in #Belarus + #Russia when confronted with domestic protests, armed police were this morning brutal arresting suspects
(unverified)
3/ #Nukus appears to be calm this evening, at least I've not seen reports of gatherings, which would be illegal under the new emergency measures
However, the #Uzbekistan riot police snatch squads continued their terror tactics on the streets throughout the day (unverified video)
1/2 Terrible scenes in #Uzbekistan.
Here #Russia is not so keen on backing separatists.
Last night another huge demo in #Karakalpakstan which has been autonomous but among growing independence sentiment, that was abolished with the state being brought back under central control
2/4
Warning *GRAPHIC VIDEO*
Predictably for former #Soviet states still tied to #Russia, things quickly turned violent - horrendously so.
As protests spiraled in #Uzbekistan, President Mirziyoev did a U-turn scrapping plans to limit autonomy and possible secession for #Karakalpakstan, but then imposed a month-long state of emergency.
The violence continued...