Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 14 14 tweets 15 min read
US, #Netherlands - "Our countries share a thirst for liberty" Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren tells #ACFrontPage

#Russia's Vladimir #Putin is "tsar-struck" she says, and fears liberty
"#Ukraine can prevail w/our help... #Russia cannot win this war" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren
The #Netherlands will be spending 2% of GDP in 2024 as pledged, per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren
"We as #Europe need to do more on our own, w/regional partners, & yes, if necessary, without the #UnitedStates" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren
"The US can count on the #Netherlands as a trusted and capable defense partner" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

"There is not just one threat" she says, pointing to #China, #climatechange, and more
"We're all standing in line at the munitions factory...we do need to do a coordinated effort" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

re: crunch for munitions as West rushes to supply #Ukraine
#Netherlands looking to invest in more advanced capabilities as it moves to grow/update its defense, including the #F35, per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren
#Netherlands expanding its fleet of F-35s & also MQ-9 Reaper drones, per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren
#Russia-#Ukraine war has been mostly a conventional war, per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

But #Netherlands keeping an eye on #cyber #space...
Threat landscape goes beyond #Russia's threat to #Ukraine & #Europe, per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

"We're looking in #Africa, in the #Sahel region, which is also influence by #Russia sending #Wagner [Group]"
Realistic end game for #Ukraine? "It's a million dollar question. It's very difficult to answer" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

"What the end state could be or should be...it's up to #Ukraine" she says
#Russia in the #grayzone - "One of things we do is making ppl much more aware of these risks" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

"We're very aware this is happening...Russia is not the only country we have to be aware of" - #China, too, she says
#Russia - #Ukraine "What we're seeing now is very slow progress by the Russian troops but there is progress" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

"Putin can keep this up for a very long time" she says, but notes Ukrainian resistance is "really quite strong"
"We can simply not afford not to contribute also in #Africa" per Dutch @DefensieMin @KajsaOllongren

#Sahel situation "is a threat to European countries & if we wait & see, we will really regret that" she says "The #Russia|ns are taking over - we cannot accept that"

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More from @jseldin

Jul 15
NEW - Day 142 of #Russia invasion of #Ukraine

"Russian forces are limited to incremental if any gains" in the #Donbas "held off" by #Ukraine forces, per a senior US military official

Says Russians have not been able to advance on #Slovansk
US confirms #Russia used submarine launched missiles in deadly attack on #Vinnytsia, per a senior US military official

Says "no indication" there was a legitimate military target anywhere nearby
US provided #HIMARS - "They're having a very, very significant effect" for #Ukraine, per a senior US military official

"We've all seen the #Russia|ns slow their movement & advances"
Read 19 tweets
Jul 13
"#ISIS is not gone" per @WHNSC's Joshua Geltzer, who says ISIS still sticking w/its basic game plan of taking advantage of ungoverned spaces, instability, carry out attacks and try to establish some territorial control

ISIS claiming 350 attacks this year in #Iraq #Syria
US sees financial movement between #ISIS core & its affiliates, as well as attempts to maintain a coherent over-arching strategy, @WHNSC's Joshua Geltzer tells @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre
"There is a level of collaboration & coordination" per @WHNSC's Joshua Geltzer on #ISIS & its affiliates

Points to call by ISIS core earlier this year for affiliated to ramp up attacks - a call he says was answered
Read 7 tweets
Jul 13
"#ISIS remains a real & potent threat" @DeptofDefense Deputy Asst Sec. for the Middle East Dana Stroul tells @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre

Says ISIS "working to infiltrate population centers" while also working in small cells in rural areas
"The #UnitedStates is committed to maintaining our force presence in #Iraq & #Syria to achieve the enduring defeat of #ISIS" per @DeptofDefense's Stroul
10,000 #ISIS fighters still being held in make-shift prisons across NE #Syria by the #SDF, per @DeptofDefense's Stroul

"No secret" ISIS wants to replicate January's attack on prison in #Hasakah, she adds
Read 18 tweets
Jul 13
"We need to get those children out of the cmaps & the prisons that they're living in" @SavetheChildren #Syria Response Director Sonia Khush tells @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre

"There is a lot of hope for them to live a normal life" if they can get out of the camps, she says
Children stuck in IDP camps, prisons in NE #Syria are not the next wave of #ISIS - they are victims, per @SavetheChildren's Khush
Children in NE #Syria IDP camps - "Repatriations are not an insurmountable problem" per @hrw's @lettatayler "There is a lack of political will"
Read 11 tweets
Jul 13
4,000-5,000 non #Syria|n fighters still being detained in NE #Syria, along w/thousands of family members-"a serious ongoing security & humanitarian threat" @StateDept acting CT Coordinator Timothy Betts tells @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre

Leaving them there "not a viable option"
"#ISIS knows that prisons breaks work-they're time tested and generate long-lasting results" per @StateDept's Betts

ISIS tried at #Hasakah in January, has others in its sights-"We know they will try to attack them again"
"The only durable solution...is for each country to take back its nationals" per @StateDept's Betts

"We cannot fight our way out of this side of the battle" vs #ISIS, he says
Read 20 tweets
Jul 8
NEW: @POTUS praises the heroism of @CIA, especially in regards to Vladimir Putin & #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine

Biden said the CIA “punched a big hole” in the #Kremlin's playbook

CIA workforce gave Biden a standing ovation as he left...

via WH radio pooler @Tara_Mckelvey
Comments came during a speech by @POTUS to @CIA's workforce at CIA HQ -- to commemorate the spy agency's 75th anniversary
"I'm honored to be here standing in front of this hallowed wall to honor 75 years in this proud institution" per @POTUS

"For 75 years, our nation's intelligence professionals have worked unceasingly & have sacrificed willingly make our country safer"
Read 10 tweets

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