#Russian President #Putin did not abandon the options for using #nuclear weapons in the war with #Ukraine. He gave direct orders to prepare such.
1/11
We've repeatedly talked about the fact that #Putin usually gives orders to prepare several options for the implementation of a number of decisions. After all the options are prepared, he chooses the one he likes best right before the implementation of a plan.
2/11
This way, one of the scenarios for the development of the conflict is being actively prepared when #Putin can realize the possibility of using tactical #nuclear weapons.
3/11
The recent shelling by #RussianArmy of the #Zaporizhzhia#NuclearPower plant occupied by them in #Energodar is part of the implementation of this scenario. By order of the command of the Russian Army, the Zaporizhzhia NPP was mined, including one of the plant's power units.
4/11
According to this plan, part of the facilities at the station should be blown up to damage the power unit so that #Putin could accuse the leadership of #Ukraine of #nuclear#terrorism, blaming Ukraine for the explosions.
5/11
#Putin would equate this "#nuclear#terrorism" with the use of nuclear weapons by #Ukraine, giving the order to use tactical nuclear weapons as a "response".
6/11
If, in order to start the war with #Ukraine, #Putin decided to abandon the formal casus belli, although the #Russian leadership was preparing options for provocations, then in the case of a decision to use tactical nuclear weapons, the casus belli should be unambiguous.
7/11
#Putin has an idée fixe, which is that it is necessary to repeat all the mistakes made by the #UnitedStates in order for #Russia to be considered a great country and him a great ruler.
8/11
#Putin is sure that it is precisely the demonstration of the use of nuclear weapons with impunity in the armed conflict that will force the West to recognize his (Putin's) strength and force the whole world to reckon with him and go to his terms.
9/11
This is, of course, idiocy and mortally dangerous delusions, primarily for #Russia, but this is a reality for a seriously ill or "entirely too healthy" president of Russia.
10/11
Fighting #Putin's illusions and trying to convince him of something is useless. The only thing he definitely understands is the "language of power", and the sooner the West understands this, the more likely it will be that Putin will not dare to use nuclear weapons.
11/11
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Yesterday, Russian President #Putin had a telephone conversation with Israeli President Herzog. During the conversation, the President of #Israel informed Putin that #Palestinian militants have been receiving weapons smuggled out of #Russia over the past few months.
1/12
The President of #Russia, in response, suggested that weapons to #Palestine most likely have been coming from the territory of #Ukraine and laid the blame on the Ukrainian leadership. But the President of #Israel objected to #Putin.
2/12
Herzog pointed to the exact knowledge that he and his country's leadership had about the routes of movement and the origin of weapons and proposed to accept measures to prevent arms smuggling from #Russia into #Palestine.
3/12
The elites around the Kremlin are in an irritated state and are increasingly expressing and demonstrating their dissatisfaction with the lack of clear and understandable prospects.
1/10
#Putin's poor health is no secret today to most people in the Kremlin's orbit, and fear for their future in #Russia without Putin, who is the only guarantor of the current status quo, dominates the elites.
2/10
Rumours about the upcoming transit only add fuel to the fire because, in reality, the framework, parameters and concept of transit are known in detail only to a narrow circle of friends and people close to the President.
3/10
Russian President #Putin was very angry and extremely annoyed by the news that the "special operation to force the resignation of #Draghi's #Italian government and replace it with one loyal to #Russia" approved by him is on the verge of failure. lastampa.it/politica/2022/…
1/8
The details of both the preparation and conduct of the operation to break up the ruling #Draghi's coalition in #Italy will be made public soon. 2/8
Just the other day, #Putin was presented with a report on how wonderfully and fruitfully the #Russian special services are working with agents in the leadership of a number of #European countries,... 3/8
#Russian President #Putin is preparing to meet #Turkish President #Erdogan in Sochi. The Russian President is counting on productive negotiations and hopes to get concessions from Erdogan in several areas while being ready to offer a lot in return. 1/8
Recently, #Putin has been extremely dissatisfied with the policy of the #Armenian leadership, who, in his opinion, taking advantage of the difficult situation for #Russia, is leaving its sphere of influence, drifting to the West. 2/9
#Putin has no time and is not interested in dealing with #Armenia. He sincerely hates Pashinyan (prime minister of Armenia), considering him an upstart and a misunderstanding in Armenian politics. 3/9
The so-called "special military operation" is in full swing, and success in it is far from being predetermined for the Russian troops. Defeat in the war for the President of #Russia will mean the end of his power and the regime as a whole. 1/4
#Putin himself and his entourage are aware of the possibility of a sharp change in mood in the country and, not excluding a coup or revolution, if you like, are preparing plans for evacuation from #Russia. And here an interesting question arises: 2/4
"Will #Turkey let the planes with #Putin, his family and those who will join fly to #Syria?" In principle, it is beneficial for #Iran and Turkey to keep the Russian president in exile in reserve, using him, depending on the situation, as a lever or as a bargaining chip. 3/4
Russian President #Putin gave a second wind to the Great Transit of Power in the country. The contours of the transit are emerging quite clearly, and many decisions approved by the President are waiting in the wings.
1/14
The beneficiaries of this process are undoubtedly the close circle of the President, while #Putin will be the central figure in the transition until death, regardless of what post he will hold and whether he will hold one at all.
2/14
The very purpose of launching transit is to preserve #Putin's system before and after the death of the President.
Given upcoming events, many questions arise as to who in power can maintain and improve their positions and who can be forgotten or even worse.
3/14