Kyle Orton Profile picture
Aug 18 42 tweets 29 min read
Thread: 18 August 2022: Day 176 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia has had "heavy attrition" of its tanks because of a "culture of poor" work with Explosive Reactive Armour (ERA) that "dates back to the First Chechen War in 1994". Failing to "enforce low-level battle discipline" of this kind has marked the war.
#pt: The Russian army, despite the so-called "modernisation", has precious little progress to show from nearly 30 years ago in Chechnya.
#Ukraine daytime HIMARS strike on 16 August, against a #Russian military post in the occupied SBU base in Lysychansk in the Luhansk Oblast.
#Ukraine HIMARS strike overnight at one of #Russia's bases or ammunition depots in Amvrosiyivka in the Donetsk Oblast.
One of #Russia's tradition pre-confessions of planning something awful in Zaporizhzhia
Popular opinion is resisting "#Ukraine fatigue" remarkably well. #Europe's governments on the other hand...

Has been an interestingly consistent pattern since #Russia's invasion: our people believe in our creed, and our leaders have to be forced to act.
#Turkey's ruler Recep Tayyip Erdogan will visit #Ukraine today to meet President Zelensky for the first time since #Russia's invasion. Erdogan comes with a message of "neutrality", proposing to host ceasefire talks. middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-uk…
The #Biden administration quite properly not opposing #Ukraine's strikes at #Russia in #Crimea, legal territory of the Ukrainian state.
Lot of indicators #Russia is setting up for something nasty in Zaporizhzhia
Sovereignty for me and not for thee ... The "realist" narrative that #China's foreign policy operates on a "respect" for sovereignty is one of the silliest memes in the present Discourse.
#Russia continuing their needless desecration of Kharkiv.
#Ukraine's President Zelensky visiting and awarding soldiers defending their homeland against #Russia's invasion.
#pt: Video of #Ukraine's President Zelensky visiting and awarding soldiers defending their homeland against #Russia's invasion.
A small example of "Wagner" being an instrument of #Russia's state: Kanamat Botashev, 63, the most senior Russian pilot killed in #Ukraine, awarded as a Hero of the Russian Federation by Putin. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/08/…
There has just been another explosion at a #Russian military site in #Crimea, in Mizhvodne. It is still unclear how #Ukraine is doing this since the site is 85 miles from the front line, out of range of the Ukrainians' longest-range weapons, HIMARS/MLRS.
#Estonia has repelled the largest cyber attack against her since 2007. This one, as with the one 15 years ago, was conducted by #Russia. aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/18…
"Dry grass caught fire" is #Russia's explanation for the explosions in #Crimea today. Which is at least novel.
Sabotage of rail lines in Krynychna in the #Russian-occupied Donetsk Oblast, seemingly by #Ukrainian guerrillas.
"#Russia has allegedly told workers at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant not to show up to work [on 19 August] ... This comes amid allegations ... from both Russia and #Ukraine that an incident is being planned [for tomorrow] at the plant" nbcnews.com/news/world/rus…
An explosion has taken place *within* #Russia, near the village of Timonovo in the Belgorod region.
#pt: Another video of the explosion inside #Russia today, near the village of Timonovo in the Belgorod region.
#Russia storing military equipment at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant
In Lviv, in the presence of #Ukraine's President Zelensky, #Turkey's ruler Recep Tayyip Erdoğan signed a "Memorandum of Understanding Concerning Infrastructure Recovery", proposing for Turkish state agencies and businesses to help rebuild in Ukraine. president.gov.ua/en/news/u-pris…
#NATO member state #Denmark is investing $5.5 billion in new warships to bolster its maritime security in the wake of #Russia's attempt to eradicate #Ukraine. reuters.com/world/europe/d…
A second explosion has been reported tonight in the Belgorod region, within #Russia, at the Stary Oskol Airfield.
Explosions in Nova Kakhovka in Kherson Oblast, it seems near the hydroelectric plant, probably targeting the bridge. Presumably an attack from #Ukraine's HIMARS.
Reports that two #Russian MiG-31 jets have violated #Finland's airspace near the city of Porvooon the Gulf of Finland. reuters.com/world/europe/r…
Good piece from @ASPI_org on the likelihood that #Turkey's relations with #China will continue to deepen under Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and the relationship will likely outlast him.
aspistrategist.org.au/burgeoning-tie…
Thread on #Russia's attack on #Ukraine as the return of war on a scale and of a kind we have not seen in quite some time.
Picture form earlier today of #Turkey's ruler Recep Tayyip Erdogan meeting #Ukraine's President Zelensky in Kiev.
#pt: Another picture from #Turkey's Erdogan's in #Ukraine, where he met President Zelensky and #UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres. At the press conference afterwards, Erdogan said Turkey was "on the side of Ukraine". Zelensky thanked him for a "powerful message of support".
Oleksiy Arestovych, adviser to #Ukraine's President Zelensky, lists the attacks in #Crimea and within #Russia today, says: "As you understand, we have nothing to do with it. You need to smoke less."
The Mobile Assault Training Group - made up of American, British, Canadian, and Israeli veterans - has seen great results in its training of #Ukraine's forces.
#Ukraine's government not really hiding that it is behind the strikes on #Russia in occupied #Crimea, though still the mystery remains of how.

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More from @KyleWOrton

Aug 17
Thread: 17 August 2022: Day 175 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: notes the explosions on 16 August in Dzhankoi, home to one of two "most important Russian airfields in #Crimea" and "a key road and rail junction" supplying Russian forces in southern #Ukraine. "The cause ... is not yet clear" 😶
#Russia's state media is upset at the "repressions" of Donald Trump. In a strange segment, Vladimir Solovyov even wondered if "Teflon Don" might not be "[declared] a Russian spy" and if so would #Russia do a prisoner exchange "to bring Trump to Russia?". thedailybeast.com/russian-state-…
Read 31 tweets
Aug 16
Thread: 16 August 2022: Day 174 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's Black Sea Fleet is having to pursue an "extremely defensive posture", keeping vessels close to the Crimean coast after the loss of the flagship MOSKVA, a "significant proportion" of naval combat jets, and Snaks Island. Odesa out of reach. Image
More Nazis involved in Putin's denazification army
Read 37 tweets
Aug 15
Thread: 15 August 2022: Day 173 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update on #Russia's plans to completely conquer Donetsk Oblast in eastern #Ukraine and then stage a referendum to annex the zone to Russia. Image
#Ukraine fighter pilot, Anton Lystopad, recognised in 2019 as the country's top pilot and who had been awarded an Order for Courage by President Zelensky, was killed in combat against #Russia | pravda.com.ua/news/2022/08/1… ImageImageImageImage
Read 42 tweets
Aug 13
Thread: 13 August 2022: Day 171 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: The "two primary road bridges" to #Russian-occupied Kherson, west of the Dnipro, are "probably out of use" for "substantial military resupply" due to #Ukraine strikes. Even if repaired, remain vulnerable. Russians relying on pontoon ferry crossing points
#Sweden considering ramping up domestic weapons production to assist #Ukraine.
Read 23 tweets
Aug 12
Thread: 12 August 2022: Day 170 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: Britain not saying #Ukraine attacked Saki Airbase, but says "almost certainly" five Su-24 FENCER bombers and three Su-30 jets were seriously damaged or destroyed. Airfield probably usable. #Crimea clearly not a "secure rear-area" as #Russia believed.
#Ukraine thanks #Britain for delivering on its promise of sending more M270 MLRS.
Read 19 tweets
Aug 12
Salman Rushdie has been stabbed in New York as he was beginning a lecture at the Chautauqua Institution. Rushdie's condition is unclear. Suspicion will naturally fall on #Iran, whose government called for his murder in 1989 and never repudiated the fatwa. apnews.com/article/salman…
Pictures circulating show the Salman Rushdie being wheeled away on a stretcher after he was stabbed in New York, contrary to some reports he walked off stage, and the perpetrator being arrested. ImageImage
Read 17 tweets

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