1. For people who are new to the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine, you may not know that the Russian Black Sea Fleet had a long term lease to use Sevastopol. Russia's invasion and de facto annexation have now resulted in the Russian fleet facing the loss of Sevastopol.
2. I can't imagine what is going on in the Russian Navy command that has seen their flag ship sunk and now their entire Black Sea Fleet at risk of being destroyed at anchor and cut off from the Russian mainland when the Kerch bridge is destroyed.
3. I believe Putin is dying. He has created a dictatorship that has none of the checks that the old Soviet system had with the Politburo able to remove a leader who became a threat to the state's survival. The Russian military is simply going to watch itself be destroyed
4. out of respect for the power of an increasingly erratic and dangerous President. Surrounded by cowardly yes-men like Gerasimov and Shoygu, Putin has insulated himself from the military's ability to influence is delusional thinking on Ukraine. Now he is planning to attack
5. @NATO with what amounts to a massive dirty bomb. The Russian military must pay a price for this that should be focused on the Russian navy. Sink the entire missile sub fleet and blow Sevastopol to smithereens if one rad comes out of that nuke plant. #ThisIsNotADrill

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Aug 20
1. As minutes tick off to Fulton County DA's opposing filing in the 11th Cir @LindseyGrahamSC's request for a stay, it's worth considering what he'll do if it's denied & how it might impact the members of @GOP in Congress & former #45 officials soon facing the grand jury.
2. I think if denied his Koch machine litigation team will seek an emergency stay from SCOTUS. The question is how much attention to their corrupt confirmations funded by the Koch machine each conservative justice with life tenure is willing to endure. My money's on them denial.
3. And if they do, every judge will then have a basis to deny any relief to people like @tedcruz @HawleyMO and @MikeLeeforUtah when they are called to the grand jury and seek to block it. The denial of Graham's stay request at SCOTUS could bring the opening of flood gates
Read 5 tweets
Aug 19
1. I reviewed the DC Circuit opinion affirming Judge Jackson's summary judgment order in the @CREWcrew v DOJ case. When a DOJ changes command at the end of an administration, there are loose ends.

This case was originally filed May 29, 2019.
2. The summary judgment briefing was completed on October 21, 2020. Then it appears that judge Jackson requested the memo that was the basis for the #45 DOJ's claim of deliberative process FOIA exemption that was delivered for in camera inspection on March 8, 2021.
3. Merrick Garland assumed his position as AG on March 11, 2021. On May 3, 2021, judge Jackson issued her ruling on the cross-motions for summary judgment and on May 24, 2021 the DOJ filed its appeal to the DC Circuit.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 19
1. If our @NATO alliance prevents us from standing up to #Erdogan we are morally obligated to arm the #SDF with heavy weapons and anti-air capabilities to fight off the unprovoked #Turkish aggression in N Syria. The Syrian people and fighters of the #SDF earned that
2. much with their blood in Kobane, Raqqa and Baghuz. More SDF died fighting ISIS for us in Syria than US forces in all the years in Afghanistan. We have a force that believes in freedom, democratic rule and equality of all people. If we abandon them to the autocratic racist
3. Erdogan to be slaughtered we will lose the ability to convince others to join us in the fights against terror. Erdogan is a bully and if we give in to him we desecrate the memory of the people who died in the war on terror. He is allied with both Al-#Qaeda and #Daesh and
Read 5 tweets
Aug 19
1. In the West Palm Warrant case, here are links to the Order on redactions and unsealing entered today plus the unsealed Docket no 57 ordered unsealed in the Order. timinhonolulu.com/2022/08/18/1-i…
2. Because the Magistrate Judge entered the order today, the Govt has 14 days to appeal that would be September 1. The court ordered the proposed redactions and a memo on the authority by Thursday Aug 25. So the Govt has some decisions to make.
3. When I run all the permutations of what they may do I conclude that the best move is to charge #45 in DC that I think will transfer the jurisdiction to DC but I have to research that to be 100% sure. They might appeal before the 25th to be safe but they may get
Read 4 tweets
Aug 18
1.#Affidavit: The magistrate judge is likely stalling. If he issues an order to release any part of the affidavit and Govt objects within 14 days, the issue goes to Art III judge to review under the contrary to law or clearly erroneous standard. He likely knows what's coming.
2. FRCP Rule 59. Matters Before a Magistrate Judge
(a) Nondispositive Matters. A district judge may refer to a magistrate judge for determination any matter that does not dispose of a charge or defense. The magistrate judge must promptly conduct the required proceedings
3. and, when appropriate, enter on the record an oral or written order stating the determination. A party may serve and file objections to the order within 14 days after being served with a copy of a written order or after the oral order is stated on the record, or at some other
Read 6 tweets
Aug 16
1. I'm no #Assad fan. He is a brutal dictator who used chemical weapons on his own people. But we learned what happens if you destroy a nation's defense force after defeating dictators in #Germany and in #Iraq. What comes is either subjugation to a predator like the USSR or chaos
2. in the form of something like #Daesh. The #Turkish attack on the Syrian #Arab Republic forces near #Kobane is an act of an aggressor nation seeking to subjugate #Syria so it can commit genocide against #Yazidi, #Kurds and #Christians. @NATO cannot permit #Erdogan to hold
3. our collective morality and best interests hostage while he uses #Finland and #Sweden's accession as means to extort complicity in his crimes. Tell #Erdogan if he attacks Syria every member of @NATO will terminate their #Article5 obligations to #Turkey and cast the neo-
Read 4 tweets

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