Crisis Group Profile picture
Sep 14 8 tweets 5 min read
“There is very little time left to save lives here in #Somalia” warns @nazaninemoshiri from Dollow, a town situated on the border with #Ethiopia.
In the absence of a significant scale-up of humanitarian supplies, @FEWSNET predicts an alarming acceleration of death and destitution in the coming months as more and more families exhaust their last options for survival 👇
Displaced people in Dollow told @OmarSMahmood & @nazaninemoshiri that the drought has decimated livestock, almost three million animals have died and destroyed the farming capacity of entire villages.

Food prices have soared even higher following the crisis in Ukraine.
Conflict has also driven many Somalis here, who fled fighting between #AlShabaab and security forces.

@OmarSMahmood & @nazaninemoshiri were told that #AlShabaab has been squeezing them financially with taxation.

Some fear the children will be recruited by the group too.
This issue is compounded by blockades enforced by the militant group who laid siege to many villages.

An estimated 740,000 people live in areas controlled by the armed group.

A further two million people live in highly insecure areas which are difficult to reach.
International agencies have renewed their interest in expanding access to better address the needs of the population living under the group.

Months ago, we rang the alarm on the catastrophic consequences that #Somalia’s multi-season drought would bring 👇
Today, the worst possible outcome is here as many agencies predict a famine in several of Somalia’s districts.

The latest data from @theIPCinfo shows the tragic extent of food insecurity levels in the country 👇
There is a small window of opportunity to try to prevent famine.

Humanitarian organisations require immediate and safe access to all people in need, and more funding to tackle the crisis.

Time is really running out for many people in #Somalia and action needs to be taken now.

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More from @CrisisGroup

Sep 13
One step forward, two steps back.

Such is the dance of the diplomatic saga that is the #JCPOA negotiations.

Today, the music has stopped and the #IranNuclearDeal is at risk of collapsing.

[Thread] 🧵👇
crisisgroup.org/b87-middle-eas…
An important reminder: the process is not over.

Parties to the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (#JCPOA) continue to express their intention to revive the deal.

Though it seems unlikely today, parties were very close to reaching an agreement in March earlier this year.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine blew the #JCPOA negotiations off the map, and talks lost their momentum.

When the parties reconvened, some of the gaps that the two sides thought they had narrowed or closed had reappeared or even widened.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 12
📢 LIVE NOW!

What are the prospects for reviving the #IranNuclearDeal?

Tune in this live discussion with #JCPOA experts @AliVaez @EllieGeranmayeh & Naysan Rafati 🎙️

Questions can be sent through DMs for the Q&A.
fal.cn/3rMJl
Don't miss our latest report on the current state of the #JCPOA negotiations, and where they are headed, in available online as of this morning!
crisisgroup.org/b87-middle-eas…
“The process is now really bordering on the absurd", says as @AliVaez to open our live Twitter Space discussion on the #JCPOA negotiations.

Join us and ask your questions for the Q&A through our DMs!
twitter.com/i/spaces/1jMKg…
Read 12 tweets
Sep 12
This Week | On Our Radar 🧵

#BurkinaFaso 🇧🇫

An improvised explosive device killed at least 35 civilians on Monday.

@mathpellerin says this attack stands out because it specifically targeted civilians as opposed to the army.
crisisgroup.org/our-radar
#Haiti 🇭🇹

Thousands of demonstrators took to the streets of Port-au-Prince & other cities on Wednesday to demand de facto Prime Minister Ariel Henry’s resignation.

@renaticas says this might indicate the reversal of a downward trend in the number of protests over the past year.
#Türkiye 🇹🇷 - #Greece 🇬🇷

President Erdoğan accused Athens of militarising what should be demilitarised Eastern Aegean islands, threatening to “do what was necessary”.

@nigargoksel says the war of words between both sides has been escalating for several months.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 25
East African leaders have agreed to assemble troops to combat armed groups in the eastern Democratic Republic of #Congo #DRC.

What is this joint force and what are its objectives?

@PMvandeWalle takes a close look in our latest Q&A.

[Thread] 🧵👇
crisisgroup.org/africa/great-l…
The East African Community (EAC) @jumuiya is composed of #DRCongo 🇨🇩, #Tanzania 🇹🇿, #Kenya 🇰🇪, #Burundi 🇧🇮, #Rwanda 🇷🇼, #SouthSudan 🇸🇸 & #Uganda 🇺🇬.

The EAC’s joint force was designed to respond to the rampant insecurity in eastern DRC, a serious concern for the entire region.
Cyclic violence, displacement and insecurity due to the presence of armed groups has been plaguing the region for almost 30 years.

Yet an actual deployment of a regional force is unprecedented.
crisisgroup.org/africa/great-l…
Read 15 tweets
Aug 24
#TCHAD - Qui sont les absents du Dialogue National Inclusif & Souverain? #DNIS

Suite à l'accord de paix signé le 8 août à #Doha entre le Conseil Militaire de Transition (CMT) et ≈ 40 groupes politico-militaires, le DNIS a débuté avec beaucoup de chaises vides.

Pourquoi ? 🧵👇
Le #DNIS a commencé le 20 août à N'Djamena.

Environ 1400 délégués ont pour mission la reconstitution du paysage politique tchadien.

⚠️ Fait important, le DNIS est souverain et ses résolutions sont exécutoires.
lefigaro.fr/flash-actu/tch…
Dès l’ouverture du #DNIS, les travaux ont été suspendus afin de convaincre les absents de rejoindre les débats, sous l’impulsion de @parfait_onanga, @AUC_MoussaFaki et @Macky_Sall.

Mais qui sont les absents ?
dw.com/fr/tchad-offen…
Read 16 tweets
Aug 23
Ground realities continue to shift the #Israeli-#Palestinian conflict away from the two-state solution that the #EU has long pursued.

The 🇪🇺 badly needs to update its approach.

[Thread] 🧵👇
crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no…
Events in 2021 put Europe’s outdated policy in sharp relief:

The outbreak of violence, including the 11-day #Gaza war, showed how volatile the conflict remains.

Meanwhile, #Israel rejects a negotiated two-state solution & Palestinian leader #Abbas cancelled overdue elections.
Europe blindly hews to its modus operandi: bolstering a faltering #Palestinian Authority against the Islamist group #Hamas, while shying away from serious efforts to encourage change in #Israeli policy.
Read 13 tweets

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