Latest @DefenceHQ update: on Sept. 30, #Putin signed the regular annual conscription order; these recruits are not "legally" allowed to be deployed outside of #Russia, unlike those conscripted under the mobilisation order of Sept. 21. Training, equipping, etc. all a struggle. 
This is a terribly depressing thread on @WarintheFuture's latest article, showing that there is much less than meets the eye to #Australia's support for #Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/Ayei_Eloheichem/status/1577189552124370944
The #EU failing to lay the foundations for long-term policy in #Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/HenryJFoy/status/1577171042476249089
A complaint from one of #Armenia's spokesman that #Russia continues sending weapons to #Azerbaijan. It is left out of pro-Baku narratives, but the Azeris have reasonably good relations with Moscow.
https://twitter.com/ArtyomTonoyan/status/1576935250487148545
#China's people turning on #Russia as the Russians' failure becomes manifest.
https://twitter.com/JChengWSJ/status/1577108994568736769
Pretty clearly true. #Putin's government began moving things around that were designed to be seen by Western intelligence, and Moscow promoted the "ceasefire" idea - with the alternative supposedly being WW3. Elon Musk is just quite weak-minded, alas.
https://twitter.com/a_anusauskas/status/1577162173654044678
#Estonia sent drones confiscated from a #Russian agent to #Ukraine
https://twitter.com/EE_Ukraine/status/1576936386778697729
#Russia building a strong coalition here, with #North_Korea
https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1577181975315562498
An important data point when talking about Russian "public opinion": a @RusFieldGroup poll shows that 60% of #Russians would support #Putin in another attempt to take Kyiv, and 75% would support him ending the war on #Ukraine immediately. russianfield.com/mobilizatsia
#pt: 44% of Russians polled support peace negotiations vs. 46% support continuing the war.
More than half of Russians distrust the official casualty figures.
64% nominally support mobilisation (56% of 18-26 oppose it), but 63% believe they personally should not be.
More than half of Russians distrust the official casualty figures.
64% nominally support mobilisation (56% of 18-26 oppose it), but 63% believe they personally should not be.
This was from yesterday, the Pentagon foreseeing #Russia in real trouble in #Kherson ...
https://twitter.com/GuyPlopsky/status/1577164667134574594
Today, #Russia has been thrown into total disarray in #Kherson: the offensive some pro-Russian propagandists and even some analysts had written off as a feint or a failure continued its grinding work and is now culminating in a rapid Russian collapse.
https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1577258247656177665
#pt This was from before the free-fall of the Russian front in Kherson began this morning
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1577211443845685248
Should have been explicit what I was driving at here: it should be a red flag when a "public opinion" survey shows results like this that what is actually being measured is *not* (certainly not just) Russians' view of the war itself.
https://twitter.com/KyleWOrton/status/1577318637303652356
#pt: If the question is, "Will Russians in their majority go along with state policy on the Ukraine war?", the answer is resoundingly, "Yes". Negative in its way, it does mean that should this present government be replaced, or just change course, Russians will go with that, too.
#pt: If the question is what Russians substantively think of the war on Ukraine, it's extremely difficult: the very act of measuring skews results in the state's favour, and it's not clear there is a "there" there to start with; many simply say what they think they're supposed to
#Putin spoke with the putschist leader of #Mali, one of the African colonies the Russians have been developing.
https://twitter.com/Liveuamap/status/1577242853339807746
#Russia's Defence Minister Sergey Shoygu says that over-200,000 people have been conscripted into the Russian Army since Putin issued the mobilisation order on Sept. 21 - @AFP
#Russia clearly very pleased with Elon Musk, and understandably so: he has gotten into mass circulation their favoured political fall-back position after the battlefield situation turned so decisively against them.
https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1577243882211119105
Has been significant resentment in #Africa about #Russia's new colonial venture (and #China's, it should be said).
https://twitter.com/Kama_Kamilia/status/1577242293496516608
Interesting claim about #Ukraine's tactics
https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status/1577165862184054790
Update on the story of Marina Ovsyannikova
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1577122584012939267
The new $625 million #US aid package to #Ukraine is expected to include four more HIMARS launchers, plus other munitions, mines, and MRAP (mine-resistant) vehicles. reuters.com/world/us-send-…
Roger Waters not only making up hysterical lies about #Ukraine, but takes time for an antisemitic aside: says Jews in Britain and America are responsible for #Israel's actions "because they pay for everything".
https://twitter.com/NoahShachtman/status/1577267833414696960
People attacking @ChristopherJM for somehow being pro-Kremlin is bizarre, even by Twitter standards. Best ignored, really, but any chance to re-promote this: a detailed look at what #Russia was doing in #Ukraine when most others were not paying attention
https://twitter.com/KyleWOrton/status/1551693650626842628
In Svatove, there is "no panic, but the remaining people are very tense". One way to put it.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1577333571919945728
The change in territorial holdings in Kharkiv
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1577300043756871683
The Grey Zone "Wagner" (Russian military intelligence) channel says simply that Kherson is a disaster
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1577371370547200008
Very interesting
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1577375498011049984
Funny: the apathy for #Russia's government when announcing the "annexations" in #Ukraine and its "holy war" was so pronounced that they dubbed in sound to make the crowd seem enthusiastic.
The buses public employees and others vulnerable to state coercion were transported on to the big rally.
https://twitter.com/KyleWOrton/status/1577381174061969410
#Russia's government has been flirting with fascism, especially the aesthetic, and trying its hand at creating mass political mobilisation domestically, but #Putin has constructed a system of anti-politics. Putin's state can't even fascism properly, in other words.
Incredibly grim
https://twitter.com/Charles_Lister/status/1577390660239429636
#Russian soldier complains that the commanders are always "drunk as fuck" and it's like Stalin's time, being unable to retreat even when it all goes wrong.
Most important: notes a lack of winter equipment. About to become a major contrast with #Ukraine.
Most important: notes a lack of winter equipment. About to become a major contrast with #Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1577395712341512206
Tonight's update from #Ukraine's President Zelensky after a successful day down in Kherson
https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1577403395740241920
#Belarus' nominal president said earlier today: ""As far as our participation in [#Russia's] special military operation in Ukraine is concerned, we are indeed taking part. We are not hiding it. But we don't kill anyone." yahoo.com/video/lukashen…
Alexander Lukashenko says #Belarus is acting to prevent an attack on its territory by Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia "under the cover of a special military operation" and to ensure nobody can "use the territory of Belarus to shoot the Russians in the back."
https://twitter.com/KyleWOrton/status/1577424640276066304
The euphemism might well become more widespread than the video
https://twitter.com/VladDavidzon/status/1577421925835452416
Rest in peace, Artem Sendtetskiy.
https://twitter.com/AdrianP_doc/status/1576961558475075586
Mariya Yudina, a child killed by Russia's random attacks on Dnipro.
https://twitter.com/Mariana_Betsa/status/1576970992508751898
"United Nations investigators in Ukraine say they are receiving accounts of Russian forces torturing civilian and military prisoners — sometimes to the point of death. ... [P]eople are disappearing frequently in areas controlled by Russia" nytimes.com/live/2022/10/0…
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